Taper Tantrum 2: is there a sequel in the making? City Talk Sequels – occasionally they’re better (The Godfather Part II), but most of the time they’re worse. Often far worse (Jaws: The Revenge). As investors and economists look for the next market risks after the pandemic, some are now expecting a follow-up to 2013’s blockbusting Taper Tantrum. This sequel could even be coming to (trading) screens [...]
What the return of Middle East tensions could mean for markets City Talk Last week’s assassination of Qassem Soleimani, the head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ overseas forces, has reignited tensions in the Middle East and sent tremors through asset markets. The oil price has risen sharply to over $70 a barrel at the time of writing, amid concerns that tensions in the region will impact supply. Meanwhile, [...]
How does geopolitics impact investment returns and what can you do about it? City Talk Geopolitics can significantly impact investment returns; whether it’s trade wars, actual wars, populist politicians or terrorist attacks. And as we discussed earlier this year in our “Inescapable investment truths for the decade ahead”, geopolitical risks are on the rise and will play a major role in the years to come. So, what does this mean [...]
Market falls: cause for alarm or calm? October 26, 2018 Stock markets globally have been falling since the end of September. Economic worries including a potential trade war between the US and China, currency crises in Turkey and Argentina, debt problems in Italy and rising interest rates have seen stocks globally begin to fall from record highs. As the chart shows, since 31 August emerging [...]
How and why rising trade tensions have moved stock markets March 23, 2018 We explain all of the ins and outs of the turmoil in markets this week, focusing on at what might happen next with escalating trade tensions. How far have stock markets fallen this week? Global stock markets have come under pressure this week on fears over escalating trade tensions. The selling has been most marked [...]
Six market charts that matter: Italy’s problems, Greek bonds, the Vix spike March 2, 2018 Each month, the investment writing team at Schroders highlight the most significant charts to cross their desk. Italian election: the country's most pressing business problems Elections (not to mention referendums) have been a major source of market uncertainty and volatility in recent times. The latest comes this weekend in arguably the most important election in [...]
Charts of the month: Rising bond yields, dividends and Putin February 9, 2018 Each month, dozens of charts cross our investment writing desk at Schroders, the asset manager. Here, the team pick out six that particularly caught their interest. Bond yields on the up US Treasury (UST) yields have risen 30 basis points (bps) since the start of 2018, across different maturity levels. We have to go back [...]
How interest rates might increase over the next two years February 9, 2018 UK policymakers’ concerns about inflation have prompted Schroders’ economists to bring forward to November their expectations of a rise in interest rates. Schroders senior European economist and strategist Azad Zangana now predicts the base rate to rise in November 2018 by 25 basis points, up from 0.50% to 0.75%. This is before the two rate [...]
iPhones, oil and active investing: seven best investment charts of the month October 6, 2017 Taiwan tech tied to iPhone launch If history has taught investors anything, it is that the hype surrounding the latest iPhone launch by Apple usually ends up falling short of expectations. And this extends to the share prices of the many components suppliers involved in the giant’s supply chain too. In Asia, many Taiwanese technology [...]
Solar, bitcoin, tech, Tesla and tea: seven important investment charts from August September 5, 2017 Each month, writers at Schroders pull together the most intriguing charts of the month. Solar production eclipsed (briefly) The US came to a standstill on 21 August as people looked skyward to witness a remarkable solar eclipse. But as the moon blocked the sun it also temporarily blocked solar energy production. California aims to generate [...]
