We’ve seen how England have taken a while to find their feet in their previous matches against Wales at Twickenham and Italy at the Stadio Flaminio. If we anticipate a similar situation in their match tomorrow, we should expect England to fall behind before the forward players get into the game and give players like Riki Flutey and Mathew Tait more opportunities to run at the opposition. Accordingly, England’s price on Betdaq should drift paving the way for a straight-forward lay-to-back strategy. Lay England at the current 2.1, before backing them to win when they go behind.
The weather can have a big effect in the type of rugby we are likely to see tomorrow. Put simply, if it rains we can expect a lower scoring match so a quick glance at the forecast can give us an immediate edge over other traders on the exchange. Rain is forecast for London all day tomorrow so our initial expectations should be for a low scoring game and we should back ‘under 38.5 points’ at 1.9 on Betdaq. When punters see it raining at kick-off, the price will shorten and we can lay-off should we wish for an instant profit.