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UK Interest Rates

  • Motor finance, Madoff fraud, tax fears – bank shares defy the noise

    October 31, 2025

    A motor finance battle, hefty impairment charges and the shadow of 2008 all cast over banks third-quarter results but beneath the fog investors are rewarding the FTSE 100’s top lenders for another bumper quarter. The FTSE 350 banks index has risen nearly four per cent this month and is up 17 per cent for the [...]

  • Interest rates could fall to three per cent – City AM Shadow MPC 

    September 18, 2025

    Interest rates could fall as low as three per cent, according to a group of economists in City AM‘s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), but a rocky year for the UK economy could keep borrowing costs high.  The Bank of England voted to hold interest rates on Thursday at four per cent due to sticky [...]

  • Bank of England holds interest rates and slows down QT to £70bn

    September 18, 2025

    The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 7-2 to hold interest rates amid sticky inflation, with a decision to slow down its quantitative tightening (QT) process also made in light of febrile markets raising borrowing costs.  MPC members made a dual decision at its September meeting on interest rates and the sale of [...]

  • Hawks vs Doves: Bank of England’s MPC will hold interest rates – but expect dissent

    September 17, 2025

    In the last year, the Bank of England has cut interest rates five times on the expectation that price rises were easing in the UK.  When inflation hit a 41-year high of 11.1 per cent in October 2022, policymakers at the Bank warned that its fight to battle inflation was “sacrosanct”.  The relentless spiralling of [...]

  • Inflation: Brits ‘paying the price for years of poor economic management’

    September 17, 2025

    Inflation hit 3.8 per cent in the year to August, according to official data, sending a warning to Bank of England officials ahead of a crucial interest rate vote on Thursday.  The previous reading for inflation in July was 3.8 per cent, with the August figure likely to confirm Bank of England rate-setters will vote [...]

  • Firms continue to shed workers as jobs market deteriorates

    September 16, 2025

    The collapse of the UK jobs market has deepened, according to official data, undermining the Labour government’s goal to boost employment.  Firms continued to shed workers as the number of payrolled employees dropped by 6,000 in July, adding to a collapse of 142,000 over the year. Provisional estimates suggest there was a fall of 8,000 [...]

  • City AM Shadow MPC votes 8-1 to HOLD interest rates

    September 16, 2025

    Leading economists from academia and the City have voted 8-1 for interest rates to be held at four per cent in City AM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ahead of the Bank of England’s own decision this week.  Top analysts, who expressed views independently of their organisations, have said that stubborn inflation above the Bank [...]

  • Bank of England predicted to not cut interest rate until 2026

    September 12, 2025

    Interest rate cuts are unlikely to take place this year, according to some of the most dovish forecasters, with City analysts split on where they will settle given the UK’s battle against high inflation and low growth.  The Bank of England is set to hold its next monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting next week, a [...]

  • Bank of England: Interest rate cuts are near the end 

    September 4, 2025

    The Bank of England is less likely to make drastic cuts to interest rates in the coming year as officials said the current cycle could “not go on forever”.  In a hearing before the Treasury Select Committee, members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) indicated markets may be correct to predict there would be no [...]

  • Bank of England’s Mann: ‘Squeeze out’ inflation with rate holds

    August 26, 2025

    Inflation is likely to become “persistently elevated” unless it is squeezed out with a more restrictive monetary policy than the Bank of England is currently predicting, a top Bank of England official has warned. In a hawkish speech delivered on Tuesday, Monetary Policy Committee member Catherine Mann said the spectre of further price rises looked [...]

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