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UK Interest Rates

  • FTSE 100 banks are facing £2.5bn of headwinds – HSBC and Barclays are in the firing line

    Banking

    The FTSE 100’s Big Five banks toasted a healthy profit stash in the first-quarter, but, says Samuel Norman, storm clouds are gathering on the horizon for the sector. The London market’s five biggest banks swallowed a bitter cocktail of economic risks in the first three months of the year leaving a bumper cash haul overshadowed [...]

    City banks could be in for a tax raid come the Autumn Budget.
  • Bank of England Live: Interest rates held as hawks warn of ‘highly uncertain’ energy prices

    Markets

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee has today decided to hold interest rates at 3.75 per cent in a hawkish display. In last month’s decision, the Bank held rates in a unanimous decision. Afterwards, short-term gilt yields, which reflect government borrowing costs, sharply rose as traders priced [...]

    General news image depicting a diverse group of business professionals engaged in a collaborative meeting.
  • Twilight zone: Markets await ‘highly uncertain’ interest rates decision

    Economics

    City analysts are eagerly anticipating a “highly uncertain” Bank of England decision on interest rates that could swing prices in either direction.  The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to hold interest rates at its upcoming decision at 12pm on Thursday, though analysts have warned that a vote split and hawkish messaging around the [...]

    The Bank of England held interest rates.
  • ‘Stuff of nightmares’: Hold interest rates, City AM Shadow MPC says

    April 28, 2026

    Interest rates should be left unchanged in April but the future path of monetary policy could be unclear, City AM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee has suggested.  A group of City economists and academics has called for interest rates to be left at 3.75 per cent on Thursday, citing the risk of higher inflation due to [...]

  • ‘Outlook uncertainty’: Interest rates to be left unchanged in crunch decision

    April 24, 2026

    The Bank of England is set to leave interest rates unchanged at a highly-anticipated meeting on Thursday as investors are looking for further guidance on the impact of the Iran war on the UK economy. Markets have all but priced in a hold at the Monetary Policy Committee’s next meeting, which would leave interest rates [...]

  • War propels UK inflation in new risk for interest rate hikes

    April 22, 2026

    Inflation sped up in March, official data has revealed, giving the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee a headache as policymakers mull over whether to raise interest rates.  Inflation jumped to 3.3 per cent last month as President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu’s war on Iran led to critical trade disruption across the Strait of [...]

  • Unemployment to peak at 5.8 per cent as jobs market faces ‘biggest hit’ since pandemic

    April 20, 2026

    Britain is set to be “pushed to the brink of a technical recession” in the coming year as the economic fallout of the war in Iran dampens growth prospects and sends unemployment soaring. The latest Item Club report sees the UK economy flatlining in the second and third quarters as it digests the consequences of [...]

  • Bank of England could cut interest rates ‘if war ends’ 

    April 15, 2026

    The Bank of England could cut interest rates this year if the war in Iran ends and the Strait of Hormuz opens up within weeks, an economist at a City broker has said.   Peel Hunt’s chief economist Kallum Pickering’s current assumption is that the Bank makes two interest rate cuts at the end of this [...]

  • ‘Mortgage mayhem’: Deal lifespans hit record low as interest rate cut hopes dim

    April 13, 2026

    Borrowers have been left in a “mortgage maze” after lenders frantically pulled deals due to the unfolding crisis in the Middle East leading to the lowest average shelf-life on record. The average mortgage was on the market for just eight days in March – the lowest since records began in November 2011. This marks a [...]

  • Inflation stays above Bank of England’s target before Iran war

    March 25, 2026

    Inflation in the year to February remained well above the Bank of England’s target rate in the last piece of price data covering the period before war in the Middle East erupted.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that CPI inflation over the 12 month period was three per cent, staying flat on the [...]

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