The EU should offer the UK Brexit concessions to protect its economy, German think tank says February 13, 2019 The EU should offer the UK concessions in the Brexit negotiations to avoid damaging its economy, a German think tank said. Gabriel Felbermayr, head of the IFO Institute, said “businesses are suffering already”. He said German exports to the UK had fallen about 10 per cent in real terms since the 2016 referendum and predicted [...]
Looking out for the next financial crisis? Keep an eye on spiralling debt February 13, 2019 Concerns are growing that another financial crisis is imminent. No less important a figure than Kenneth Rogoff wrote last week that “the next major financial crisis may come sooner than you think”. Rogoff, a former chief economist at the IMF, shot to fame with his 2008 book This Time Is Different, co-authored with his Harvard [...]
Should investors be worried about a EU turn in the Eurozone’s economic prospects? February 12, 2019 As the Eurozone’s largest economy, Germany usually acts as a bellwether for the rest of the bloc. So the European Commission’s decision to downgrade the country’s growth forecasts last Thursday is a worrying sign for the other euro nations. Expectations for GDP growth in Germany were cut to 1.1 per cent for 2019, down from the [...]
Central Bank of Ireland governor Philip Lane to be next European Central Bank chief economist February 11, 2019 Ireland’s Central Bank governor Philip Lane has received backing from eurozone finance ministers to become the European Central Bank’s chief economist. Lane was the only candidate put forward for the job and his role will be confirmed by EU leaders at a meeting next month. Read more: European Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged He [...]
Finance minister insists German economy ‘not in crisis’ despite growth slowdown February 8, 2019 German finance minister Olaf Scholz attempted a spirited defence of his country’s economy today, insisting it is “not in crisis” despite weakening growth. Angela Merkel’s finance minister rejected claims Germany is heading for a recession and played down the Eurozone powerhouse’s economic troubles on a rare visit to London. Read more: Irish backstop 'not a trick' [...]
What does the year of the pig hold for stocks? History has some clues February 8, 2019 | City Talk Chinese stock markets are currently on holiday, with traders and consumers off celebrating the arrival of the Year of the Pig. But maybe equity markets across the world have something to celebrate, given the past performance of stocks during previous porcine-themed years. Statistically speaking, the Year of the Pig is a good one for stocks. [...]
Former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis blasts Donald Tusk over Eurozone crisis in response to ‘hell’ tweet February 7, 2019 Former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis blasted European Council president Donald Tusk today for the EU’s role in the Eurozone crisis. Varoufakis was responding on Twitter to Tusk’s tweet yesterday that said: “I've been wondering what that special place in hell looks like, for those who promoted #Brexit, without even a sketch of a plan [...]
What’s the point of economists? Look to America’s tech giants to find out February 6, 2019 Despite the dire predictions from the economics profession about Brexit, the UK economy is doing well. Growth continues at a steady pace. An all-time record 32.4m people are in work. Unemployment has fallen to levels not seen since the mid-1970s. In contrast, the Eurozone is on the brink of recession – and Italy is already [...]
FTSE 100 roundup: Today’s winners and losers February 1, 2019 The FTSE 100 finished 0.74 per cent up today, nudging just above 7,000 points to finish on 7,020.22. The index was bolstered by weakness in the pound after the release of further disappointing manufacturing statistics this morning. Sterling has had a tough end to an already difficult week, falling 0.3 per cent against the dollar, striking a [...]
The UK is trying to leave the European club – in Italy, the club is on fire January 31, 2019 After Tuesday’s parliamentary showdown, all eyes are on Westminster. Don’t be misled, though – the real existential threat to the EU lies in Rome. In the UK, we are debating how to leave the golf club. In Italy, the golf club is likely to be swamped by an approaching tsunami. There may not be a [...]