The Brexit unknown: how the votes moved markets – and what next March 15, 2019 | City Talk British politics has faced a turbulent week: three nights of Brexit votes, a Spring Statement and a downgrade to economic growth. Market prices have swung on each twist as investors attempt to digest a constantly shifting set of possible outcomes. The single constant factor is uncertainty. With the scheduled exit date of 29 March looming, [...]
The poker player teaching investors to learn to accept uncertainty as a fact of life March 13, 2019 | City Talk Annie Duke is an American professional poker player turned business consultant. Her 2018 book Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions when You Don’t Have All the Facts aims to help people feel better about uncertainty – something of a fact of life for investors – and so make better decisions. Duke starts her book by [...]
AI’s success story still has a few missing chapters March 11, 2019 This article is not written by robots – we promise – but apparently the day when they could be is already upon us. We have just finished reading about the GPT-2 text generator which, according to this Spectator piece, “not only does text analysis and augmentation, but generates highly sophisticated content”. “It can effectively write articles,” [...]
How climate change claimed its first corporate casualty and the lesson for income investors March 8, 2019 | City Talk The last few decades have seen the perception gain ground in markets that a combination of cash generation and state backing makes utility companies pretty much shockproof as income-yielding investments. The fate of Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E), which last week filed for bankruptcy protection in the US, should serve as a stark reminder no [...]
Schroders profits fall 15 per cent on weak investor sentiment March 7, 2019 Schroders saw profit drop 15 per cent last year as the asset management giant was hit by weaker investor sentiment due to political and economic uncertainty. The figures Profit before tax fell 15 per cent to £649.9m from £760.2m in the 12 months to the end of December last year. Read more: Schroders and Lloyds [...]
Five fintech trends to watch in 2019 March 6, 2019 | City Talk There’s no shortage of stories on how tech breakthroughs will transform financial services, from changing the way we interact with our personal finances to threatening entire banking institutions with disruption. It can be difficult to predict exactly what this landscape will look like in the next few years, but most seem to agree that the [...]
Female fintech leaders highlighted as sector faces continued lack of gender diversity February 28, 2019 Senior figures at major banking and professional services firms including HSBC, Barclays, Schroders and Monzo have been recognised on a list of women excelling in Fintech. A total of 35 women including HSBC head of digital innovation Diana Biggs, Starling Bank founder Anne Boden and Monzo chief technology officer Meri Williams were highlighted on Innovate [...]
Why the Fourth Industrial Revolution may create beach hotspots for investors February 27, 2019 | City Talk The Industrial Revolution resulted in a rail network that has influenced real estate values ever since. Now the Fourth Industrial Revolution is driving the latest wave of value creation – for certain beach locations. Our focus on this blog is on identifying the shifting fortunes of global cities. Part of this involves careful analysis of [...]
Is this popular measure of stock market value giving a misleading “sell” signal? February 25, 2019 | City Talk One of the most widely watched measures of stock market value, the cyclically-adjusted price to earnings ratio (CAPE), has been giving off a screaming “sell” signal for the US market in the past few years. Last year it rose to a level not seen in its almost 140 year history, other than during the peak [...]
A lesson for investors from the true life of Carlos Ghosn February 22, 2019 | City Talk Investors’ fondness for a good story is a theme we have often touched upon, here on The Value Perspective – though never in so literal a way as fortnightly Japanese manga magazine Big Comic Superior once managed. Back in 2001, it ran a comic strip chronicling the life of Carlos Ghosn, who rescued Nissan from [...]