Sunday 15 March 2015 6:39 am

General Election 2015: Farage opens the way for a deal with the Tories if Cameron agrees to an EU referendum in 2015


Billy Ehrenberg is a Data Journalist and Content Developer at City A.M. He can be contacted at billy.ehrenberg@cityam.com. He is particularly passionate about data visualisation and telling stories with numbers.

Billy Ehrenberg is a Data Journalist and Content Developer at City A.M. He can be contacted at billy.ehrenberg@cityam.com. He is particularly passionate about data visualisation and telling stories with numbers.

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Ukip could offer to support a minority Conservative government on key policies like the budget – if David Cameron’s party agrees to stage a referendum on the UK’s EU membership by the end of 2015.

The Telegraph is publishing extracts from Nigel Farage’s memoirs – entitled Purple Revolution – in which the Ukip leader rules out a formal coalition with the Tories as “selling out” but says there is no way Ukip wouldn’t do a deal if a referendum was carried out and it fitted in with Farage’s strict guidelines.

  • The Ukip leader would demand that any referendum take place this year, rather than in 2017, which Cameron has earmarked as referendum year if he stays in number 10.
  • Farage would also want anyone without a British passport – including his wife – to be excluded from voting.
  • Coverage of the referendum would need to be monitored by an ombudsman.
Any alliance would most likely be a three-way deal, with the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) joining the allegiance. The Northern-Irish party shares strong Eurosceptic views with Ukip.

Analysis of polling data seems to show that even this three-way alliance would not be enough, with the combined seats of all three unlikely to make the 326 seats needed for a majority.

David Cameron ruled out any deal with Ukip last year, saying last May:

We are the Conservative Party. We don't do pacts and deals. We are fighting all out for an all-out win at the next election

 

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