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  • British banking chiefs take a leaf from Elon Musk’s DOGE

    July 4, 2025

    The chiefs of the UK’s Big Four banks are taking a leaf out of the Elon Musk playbook in their strident bid to slash costs.  Natwest’s Paul Thwaite, Lloyds’ Charlie Nunn, HSBC’s Georges Elhedery and Barclays’ CS Venkatkrishnan are in the midst of major cost-cutting endeavours that bear similarities to Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency [...]

  • Markets are ignoring global instability – but a reckoning looms

    July 3, 2025

    Despite simmering political crises and looming economic risks, markets are riding a low-volatility sugar high – fuelled by central bank interventions – but the longer reality is ignored, the sharper the eventual correction, says Helen Thomas With markets taking an early summer holiday, basking in the glow of record highs for the S&P500, it can [...]

  • Labour versus the bond markets, businesses and ballots

    July 3, 2025

    Birthdays aren’t best celebrated on a hangover but Labour’s senior leaders will be waking up with a painful headache this morning after haemorrhaging support from both bond markets and backbenchers. As dozens of Labour MPs discovered the level of influence they held over whips in parliament, unsympathetic bond traders flexed their own powers as medium-term [...]

  • Gilt yields spike as doubt grows over future of Rachel Reeves

    July 2, 2025

    Gilt yields spiked shortly after Keir Starmer refused to confirm whether Rachel Reeves would remain as Chancellor in an eventful PMQs during which she appeared visibly upset.  The prime minister defended the government’s U-turn on the welfare bill, which could now prevent Labour from making £4.8bn savings baked into the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)’s [...]

  • Badenoch: Welfare ‘fudge’ driven by ‘panic not principle’

    July 1, 2025

    Kemi Badenoch has branded Labour’s welfare reforms a “fudge” that will fail to curb the government’s spiralling welfare bill on health and disability benefits.  MPs are set to vote on work and pensions secretary Liz Kendall’s welfare bill aimed at getting more inactive Brits back into the national workforce by changing eligibility for personal independence [...]

  • U-turn proves Labour has no real plan to reform welfare

    June 30, 2025

    Instead of making a moral argument for the need to reform a broken a system, Labour has cast welfare changes as a narrow fiscal exercise, say Jean-André Prager and Sean Phillips The Prime Minister appears to have quelled a mass rebellion over health and disability benefit reform, but the concessions made to backbench ‘rebels’ are [...]

  • Reeves may need larger fiscal buffer to ‘build credibility’

    June 27, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves may need to make her headroom larger than £9.9bn in the autumn to restore credibility and fund policy U-turns, an economics think tank has warned, prompting warnings that “unpopular tax hikes” are coming down the line.  Proposed welfare reforms saved the government £4.8bn at the Spring Statement in a last minute rush [...]

  • Bond markets calm despite government benefits u-turn

    June 27, 2025

    The cost of government borrowing has stayed flat on Friday morning despite the Starmer administration’s costly benefits U-turn blowing a £3bn hole in the UK’s precarious public finances. Gilts – the name for UK government bonds – opened in a muted fashion across the curve. 10-year yields nudged down two basis points (bps) in early [...]

  • Reeves urged to unfreeze income tax or risk entrenched damage

    June 26, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has been given another stark warning of the implications of extending the freeze on income tax thresholds. The Chancellor has vowed to not repeat the scale of tax rises in last year’s autumn Budget, but has not addressed whether she will stand by her promise to unfreeze income tax thresholds from 2028. Reeves [...]

  • Berenberg: Labour welfare row will lead to tax hikes and higher interest rates

    June 26, 2025

    Divisive party politics at the top of the Labour government stand to prevent the Bank of England from making further interest rate cuts, given struggles to curb spending, a leading City broker has warned.  The government is embroiled in another row over spending cuts, as £4.8bn in welfare budget savings look set to be watered down following a [...]

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