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Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

  • Keir Starmer bars Labour MPs after rebellion 

    July 16, 2025

    Prime Minister Keir Starmer has suspended at least four Labour MPs who have had a record of voting against the government in parliament.  The Labour backbenchers to have been barred from the party include Neil Duncan-Jordan, Brian Leishman, Chris Hinchliff and Rachael Maskell.  Sources told The Times, which first reported the story, that the MPs [...]

  • OBR chief says higher tax is ‘not good’ for growth – or the government

    July 15, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves risks harming the UK economy’s potential to grow by inflicting extra tax hikes on Brits, the fiscal watchdog has warned, adding that the government risks losing out on returns in the longer run.  Rachel Reeves looks poised to raise taxes at this year’s Autumn Budget as leading City analysts believe the higher [...]

  • Rachel Reeves risks ‘serious damage’ with tax hikes, OBR member warns

    July 11, 2025

    Fears of another Rachel Reeves’ tax raid are growing after fresh figures revealed the economy shrank in May, but a member of the OBR has warned the Chancellor against drastic measures, including tax hikes. The Chancellor is facing renewed pressure, with economists warning that the government’s £190bn spending splurge, sporadic U-turns, and poor growth figures are set [...]

  • Wealth and stealth: Starmer eyes fresh tax hikes

    July 9, 2025

    Keir Starmer has refused to rule out a wealth tax or so-called stealth taxes, a day after the fiscal watchdog said unfunded spending commitments on welfare put the public finances under intense pressure.  The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) gave a damning verdict of the state of public finances in a comprehensive report published on [...]

  • Sir Robert Chote to leave UK Statistics Authority 

    July 8, 2025

    Sir Robert Chote has resigned as chairman of the UK Statistics Authority, which oversees official data published by a range of bodies including the Office for National Statistics.  The UK Statistics Authority, an arms-length government body, has been involved in scrutinising the ONS’s troubles.  Chote, who joined the UK Statistics Authority in 2022, will become [...]

  • UK cannot afford triple lock pension, OBR says

    July 8, 2025

    The UK government cannot afford to keep the triple lock pension, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves has faced staunch opposition from within her own party and seemingly from the wider electorate over cuts to welfare spending as she bids to meet fiscal rules that prevent high borrowing from further [...]

  • OBR warns unfunded spending to damage UK finances amid ‘daunting’ risks

    July 8, 2025

    The UK economy is set for a “daunting” year as the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned unfunded spending commitments and global trade tensions are likely to damage public finances.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves is facing pressure to assuage Labour backbenchers by not cutting welfare spending while also upholding a pledge not to raise tax [...]

  • Housebuilding boost as stamp duty ‘disruptions’ fade

    July 4, 2025

    Housebuilding stopped the construction sector from crumbling as an increase in residential work in June was recorded for the first time in nine months, fresh data has suggested. S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for construction showed the sector improved slightly from May, with the decline in total business activity at the lowest level since [...]

  • Labour versus the bond markets, businesses and ballots

    July 3, 2025

    Birthdays aren’t best celebrated on a hangover but Labour’s senior leaders will be waking up with a painful headache this morning after haemorrhaging support from both bond markets and backbenchers. As dozens of Labour MPs discovered the level of influence they held over whips in parliament, unsympathetic bond traders flexed their own powers as medium-term [...]

  • Badenoch: Welfare ‘fudge’ driven by ‘panic not principle’

    July 1, 2025

    Kemi Badenoch has branded Labour’s welfare reforms a “fudge” that will fail to curb the government’s spiralling welfare bill on health and disability benefits.  MPs are set to vote on work and pensions secretary Liz Kendall’s welfare bill aimed at getting more inactive Brits back into the national workforce by changing eligibility for personal independence [...]

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