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Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

  • Starmer refuses to rule out tax rises – and criticises forecasters

    August 6, 2025

    The Prime Minister has refused to comment on whether he will break Labour’s manifesto pledges on taxes at this year’s Autumn Budget as he slapped down independent forecasters’ claims the government faced a £50bn black hole.  The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) claimed Rachel Reeves would miss her borrowing target by £41.2bn [...]

  • Immigration is top voter concern, exclusive poll says

    August 5, 2025

    Reducing immigration became more important to voters in July, polling has shown, amid social instability over anti-migrant protests and more calls from top UK economists for a greater focus on getting Brits into the labour market before hiring overseas workers.  Research by City AM/Freshwater Strategy has shown reducing immigration is the single most important issue [...]

  • JP Morgan: Rachel Reeves could slash headroom to avoid large tax rises 

    July 29, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves is poised to reduce her wafer-thin £9.9bn headroom even further at the Autumn Budget to avoid making sweeping tax rises, analysts at one of the world’s biggest banks have predicted.  Leading think tanks and City analysts have warned that Rachel Reeves will look to raise as much as £30bn in taxes later [...]

  • Rachel Reeves: It’s not progressive to pay off US hedge funds for debt

    July 22, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has said there is “nothing progressive” about paying off US hedge funds which hold government bonds, hours after the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed debt interest payments in June were double levels seen at the same time last year.  In a hearing at the Economic Affairs Committee, Rachel Reeves said she [...]

  • Keir Starmer bars Labour MPs after rebellion 

    July 16, 2025

    Prime Minister Keir Starmer has suspended at least four Labour MPs who have had a record of voting against the government in parliament.  The Labour backbenchers to have been barred from the party include Neil Duncan-Jordan, Brian Leishman, Chris Hinchliff and Rachael Maskell.  Sources told The Times, which first reported the story, that the MPs [...]

  • OBR chief says higher tax is ‘not good’ for growth – or the government

    July 15, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves risks harming the UK economy’s potential to grow by inflicting extra tax hikes on Brits, the fiscal watchdog has warned, adding that the government risks losing out on returns in the longer run.  Rachel Reeves looks poised to raise taxes at this year’s Autumn Budget as leading City analysts believe the higher [...]

  • Rachel Reeves risks ‘serious damage’ with tax hikes, OBR member warns

    July 11, 2025

    Fears of another Rachel Reeves’ tax raid are growing after fresh figures revealed the economy shrank in May, but a member of the OBR has warned the Chancellor against drastic measures, including tax hikes. The Chancellor is facing renewed pressure, with economists warning that the government’s £190bn spending splurge, sporadic U-turns, and poor growth figures are set [...]

  • Wealth and stealth: Starmer eyes fresh tax hikes

    July 9, 2025

    Keir Starmer has refused to rule out a wealth tax or so-called stealth taxes, a day after the fiscal watchdog said unfunded spending commitments on welfare put the public finances under intense pressure.  The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) gave a damning verdict of the state of public finances in a comprehensive report published on [...]

  • Sir Robert Chote to leave UK Statistics Authority 

    July 8, 2025

    Sir Robert Chote has resigned as chairman of the UK Statistics Authority, which oversees official data published by a range of bodies including the Office for National Statistics.  The UK Statistics Authority, an arms-length government body, has been involved in scrutinising the ONS’s troubles.  Chote, who joined the UK Statistics Authority in 2022, will become [...]

  • UK cannot afford triple lock pension, OBR says

    July 8, 2025

    The UK government cannot afford to keep the triple lock pension, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves has faced staunch opposition from within her own party and seemingly from the wider electorate over cuts to welfare spending as she bids to meet fiscal rules that prevent high borrowing from further [...]

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