Grexit odds have shortened again May 19, 2015 If Alexis Tspiras is a betting man he might be hoping for better odds than these. Bookmaker Paddy Power now believes there is a 40 per cent chance of Greece leaving the Eurozone this year. The odds of a Grexit have been shortening across the board. Paddy Power has it priced at 6/4, while [...]
The Brexit effect begins: Deutsche Bank forms working group to consider impact of UK leaving the EU May 19, 2015 Deutsche Bank is considering pulling chunks of its operations from the UK in the event of a Brexit, ahead of the EU referendum committed to by the Conservatives during the General Election. The German lender has reportedly put together a working group comprising execs from its risk, strategy, UK management and research teams, to [...]
Chairman of JCB Lord Bamford says economy would not be affected by Brexit May 17, 2015 The chairman of one of Britain’s largest manufacturers said today that Britain’s trade relationships would be unaffected if the country were to vote to leave the European Union in an in/out referendum. “We are the fifth or sixth largest economy in the world. We could exist on our own – peacefully and sensibly. We could [...]
Sleepwalking to Brexit: The stakes are too high to be complacent about the risks May 17, 2015 Expect the unexpected could be considered the new mantra for UK politics, just like think the unthinkable has become an increasingly common refrain for markets. The shock Conservative majority and stunning gains of the SNP left Paddy Ashdown eating his hat, Alastair Campbell eating his kilt, and David Cameron well-advised to dust off the “Better [...]
Nigel Farage’s unresignation, Mayoral candidates and the Avon lady’s funny turn: Here’s what got us talking this week May 15, 2015 It was the week we dealt with the fallout of the election – including the coining of the phrase “doing a Farage” (aka “taking an extra day off to prolong the weekend”). What got us talking this week 1. Barage of Farage Some called it Ukip’s Easter (“on the third day, he rose again”), [...]
Business backs Mark Carney’s push for in/out EU referendum vote May 14, 2015 Business leaders welcomed Bank of England governor Mark Carney’s comments yesterday, calling for the government to act with “appropriate speed” in pushing through an in/out referendum on Britain’s EU membership. In a radio interview with the BBC, Carney said it was “in the interests of everybody” to answer questions surrounding the UK’s relationship with the EU, adding [...]
UK banking’s falling competitiveness should worry the whole of the country May 14, 2015 Contrary to most expectations, we have a government. And although David Cameron might have felt he had it difficult in his first term as Prime Minister – dealing with a huge budget deficit while in coalition – this term also has its challenges. His majority is slim, there is the far from little matter of [...]
Labour made a strategic error in opposing an EU vote: It must reverse course May 14, 2015 Now that the stoor is settling, Labour might want to consider some of the blunders Ed Miliband made that helped drive voters towards the Conservatives – or even Ukip. The first is that Labour made a strategic error by not offering an in/out EU referendum. This misjudgement delivered four outcomes that Miliband could have avoided: [...]
Can Labour win in 2020? The tectonic plates are shifting in the Tories’ favour May 13, 2015 Deja vu about 1992 is back. In the immediate aftermath of the 1992 election, speculation was rife that the Labour Party would be out of power for a generation. Five years later, Tony Blair won in a landslide. Will we see the same political cycle over the coming years, with Labour gradually re-establishing itself and [...]
George Osborne starts his EU reform push with ministers in Brussels May 12, 2015 Britain’s EU renegotiation process is officially underway, as chancellor of the exchequer George Osborne made his first post-General Election trip to Brussels yesterday. Speaking ahead of a meeting of EU finance ministers, Osborne said he went to Brussels “with a very clear mandate to improve Britain’s relationship with the rest of the European Union, and to [...]