Black swans are difficult to predict but we still need maths in finance February 10, 2013 SINCE the 2008 crash, we’ve heard steady criticism of the role of physicists in finance. The terms quants, derivatives and models have all taken on nasty connotations. But if you think about mathematical modelling in the right way, this criticism is wrongheaded. One of the most prominent critiques is an argument from psychology. It suggests [...]
Don’t let the rise of the Brics mask burgeoning opportunities in the Gulf February 10, 2013 ONE of the most striking phrases in David Cameron’s recent speech on Europe was his recognition “that a new global race of nations is underway today”. Adapting to a fast-changing global economic order is critical to the continued prosperity of the UK. Over the past decade, a huge amount of focus has – quite rightly [...]
Cynical Labour has no claim to being a party of business February 10, 2013 CHUKA Umunna, the shadow business secretary, suggested in last week’s City A.M. that Labour is the natural party of entrepreneurship. This is little more than a cynical attempt at gesture politics. Like Umunna’s father, my parents came to Britain with very little and set up their own businesses. The small shops they owned created jobs [...]
The Debate: Could escalating tensions between Japan and China bring about serious economic damage? February 10, 2013 YES Nicholas Consonery In the near term, China and Japan are unlikely to negotiate a return to stability. A continued push by Beijing to weaken Japan’s administrative control over the disputed islands sustains the risk of an accident; but military confrontation is unlikely given Japan’s alliance with the US. However, risks surrounding the Japan/China relationship [...]
Letters to the editor February 10, 2013 Consensual leader [RE: Mark Carney will be more of a reformer than a revolutionary, Friday] This article is thoughtful, but I disagree with its second point. The Monetary Policy Committee’s current inflation target is already quite flexible; it is unclear what would be achieved by formalising flexibility. Mark Carney’s testimony was more candid than the [...]
There are alternatives to the NHS but we must face up to its failure February 7, 2013 THERE is a scene near the beginning of the film Casablanca when a crime takes place. In response, the chief of police commands, “Round up the usual suspects!” He knows this will not reveal the culprit. Doubtless, his staff know too. Everybody knows. But at least he can say he is taking action. The response [...]
Three technological earthquakes are breaking up businesses for the better February 7, 2013 WE LIVE in extraordinary times. Robots are cleaning floors, accompanying soldiers into battle and just starting to drive our cars. Artificial intelligence is turning phones into personal assistants. The internet is connecting more of us than ever, in more ways than ever. For all the economic gloom, remarkable technologies are transforming our lives for the [...]
Correct GCSE flaws or Britain will lose the global contest February 7, 2013 THE government announced yesterday that GCSEs will not be scrapped. The good news is that the exams will be significantly reformed, reflecting the need to raise standards for every pupil while pushing the most able. And it’s not before time. Having taken GCSEs myself, I remember how repetitive and boring they were. Filled with multiple [...]
The Debate: Will Premier League financial fair play rules have a positive impact on English football? February 7, 2013 YES David Lampitt Football’s finances have long needed a rethink. Clubs are incredibly valuable assets to supporters and communities. They need sustainable long-term stewardship, not a system of casino economics, rampant insolvency and a dependency on the whims of a super-wealthy elite. This can only be achieved through strong independent regulation that includes financial fair [...]
Letters to the editor February 7, 2013 Labour’s legacy [Re: Why Labour is the natural party of small business and entrepreneurs, Wednesday] Chuka Umunna’s ideals might be great, but he has incredible chutzpah to trumpet Labour’s credentials for helping small business. The last Labour government presided over a massive increase in the size of the public sector, providing a disincentive for people [...]