Analysts predict another missed inflation target in January data February 10, 2013 INFLATION will come in above target for the 38th straight month when data for January is released tomorrow, analysts have predicted. The consumer price index (CPI) will show inflation of 2.6 to 2.7 per cent, City economists said, marking yet another month above the Bank of England’s two per cent target, with aggressive discounting in [...]
City A.M. shadow MPC votes 7-2 against more QE February 6, 2013 ALLISTER HEATH | CITY A.M. “No change. There is no longer any lack of money supply, and the services sector purchasing managers’ index business survey suggests we may just about escape a triple-dip, if we are lucky. The real problem in the UK is that ultra-loose monetary policy is keeping zombie firms alive, slowing the [...]
Shop price inflation droops to 38-month low in January 2013 February 5, 2013 PRICE rises in shops were recorded at their slowest rate in over three years in January, according to data out this morning. Shop inflation ran at just 0.6 per cent over the year to last month, according to figures from the British Retail Consortium (BRC), the lowest rate since November 2009. This impressively low number [...]
The failure of QE isn’t an excuse for further Bank of England experiments January 28, 2013 QUANTITATIVE easing (QE) is like macroeconomic doping. America is like Lance Armstrong.” Or so a British journalist overheard at Davos. Relative to the size of the economy, of course, the UK is a more likely Armstrong than the US. Central bank asset purchases here have been about 25 per cent of GDP, compared to less [...]
Economic perfect storm: The four trends that killed Western growth January 21, 2013 THE West lies at the confluence of four extremely dangerous long-term developments. Individually or collectively, they have already begun to reverse more than two centuries of economic expansion. The first is well-known: the creation of the worst financial bubble in history – “the great credit super-cycle”. Since the 1980s, a relentless shift to immediate consumption [...]
Shoppers desert UK high streets January 20, 2013 BRITISH shops were abandoned in the run up to Christmas, new figures showed today, with hard-pressed consumers increasingly staying away from the high street, out of town retailers and shopping centres. Online sales soared upwards to account for over 10 per cent of total sales, leaving traditional shops to bear the brunt of the country’s [...]
Retail sales slip in December January 18, 2013 British retail sales posted a surprise fall in December, crushing hopes that buoyant Christmas trading would provide a boost to the economy. The Office for National Statistics said this morning that sales including fuel fell 0.1 per cent month on month in December. On an annual basis, retail sales posted a jump of 0.3 per [...]
Tesco and Sainsbury’s maintain share after a festive dead-heat January 15, 2013 BRITAIN’S biggest retailer Tesco and third-place grocer Sainsbury’s tied in the battle for sales growth in the key Christmas period, according to data published yesterday. Market researcher Kantar Worldpanel said Tesco and Sainsbury’s both posted identical gross sales growth rates of 3.9 per cent in the six weeks ending 6 January, with market shares unchanged [...]
Little Christmas cheer for retail January 14, 2013 Chief Market Strategist, Cantor Index THE official retail activity figures, which are posted monthly or at specific times like Christmas, are accurate but often indecipherable to the layman. The small print is where the message is. And the most recent figures suggest that Christmas was great for some, but brutal for others. The situation was [...]
UK consumer price index is forecast higher January 13, 2013 UTILITY prices are expected to have lifted the UK’s consumer price index (CPI), the household spending index due out tomorrow along with a swathe of housing and retail data. “We expect CPI inflation to have edged up to 2.8 per cent year on year in December from 2.7 per cent, and retail price index (RPI) [...]