US inflation jumps to 2.9 per cent, setting up key rate decision September 11, 2025 US inflation edged up to 2.9 per cent in August, leaving the Federal Reserve with a difficult decision to make on interest rates next week and all but vanquishing any chance of a ‘super-sized’ 50 basis-point cut. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Thursday that the annual consumer price index (CPI) figure for inflation [...]
Beware calm markets. Smooth waters don’t always signal safety August 26, 2025 As US markets prove resilient to tariff chaos, Fabio Bassi pleads a note of caution. As sailors know, calm waters don't always signal safety.
Klarna boss: AI will lead to recession and mass job losses June 7, 2025 The introduction of AI at firms could lead to a recession due to mass job losses of professionals, Klarna’s chief executive has warned. The use of AI to make work more efficient has been encouraged by leading figures, including the government itself which said it could save civil servants two weeks a year. But fintech [...]
Allianz investment boss: US in ‘sentiment recession’ May 15, 2025 The US is currently going through a “sentiment recession,” as economic indicators fail to match the increasingly sour outlook from American consumers and businesses, a boss at Allianz’s investment arm has argued. Hard economic data in the country has so far managed to hold up despite significant uncertainty, as companies frontloaded buying inventory in advance [...]
What Rachel Reeves can learn from Geoffrey Howe May 14, 2025 In 1981, Geoffrey Howe defied Keynesian orthodoxy by tightening fiscal policy during a recession – and completely changed the narrative about the British economy. Reeves must do the same, but all she offers is doom and gloom, says Paul Ormerod The UK economy is either already in or very close to a recession. Despite Rachel [...]
Trump points finger at Biden as US stocks sink amid recession fears April 30, 2025 Donald Trump has lashed out at Joe Biden, insisting that his presidential predecessor was to blame after the US economy suffered its worst-performing quarter in three years. A slew of disappointing economic data sent US stocks sharply south on Wednesday as the clearest signs yet of the damage wreaked by the White House tariff agenda [...]
Recruitment firms shutting at fastest rate since financial crash April 24, 2025 Recruitment agencies are shutting for business at their fastest rate in fifteen years as companies tear up hiring plans amid rising taxes and global economic uncertainty. As many as 120 recruitment businesses have appointed liquidators in the past six months, a City AM analysis of insolvency disclosures has found, a jump of 17 per cent [...]
Another recession could push Millennial resentment to tipping point April 10, 2025 Any goodwill left in avocado-munching Millennials towards their wealthier elders will likely be gone with another recession, writes John Oxley.
JP Morgan chief issues recession and stagflation warning over Trump tariffs April 7, 2025 JP Morgan chairman and chief executive Jamie Dimon has warned that severe curbs on trade imposed by President Donald Trump could lead the US economy towards recession and stagflation. Dimon made the comments ahead of the multinational investment bank’s financial results, reporting revenue of $180.6bn and net income of $58.5bn in 2024. He credited the [...]
Week in Business: Is Keir Starmer leading the UK into recession? March 20, 2025 Following the PM's punchy op-ed in City AM, Editor Christian May gives his reaction to Starmer's article and puts the Prime Minister's prose in context.