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recession

  • Back to the 1970s: Brits know the damage being done to our economy

    Economics

    By late 1978 Britain was in the grip of what became known as the Winter of Discontent. Waves of strike action caused huge economic and social disruption as rubbish piled up on the streets and bodies went unburied. It was a crisis for the Labour government and a low point in Britain’s recent history. It [...]

    Rubbish piles up on the street - like the Winter of Discontent
  • Is the romance boom a recession indicator? From Mills & Boon to BookTok

    Life&Style

    From Mills & Boon to BookTok, romance fiction has thrived for more than a century. But what makes it so economically resilient?

    Gen Z readers engaging with Mills & Boon romance novels, highlighting a resurgence in popularity among younger audiences
  • Unemployment to peak at 5.8 per cent as jobs market faces ‘biggest hit’ since pandemic

    Economics

    Britain is set to be “pushed to the brink of a technical recession” in the coming year as the economic fallout of the war in Iran dampens growth prospects and sends unemployment soaring. The latest Item Club report sees the UK economy flatlining in the second and third quarters as it digests the consequences of [...]

    Rachel Reeves discussing economic strategies amid forecasts of low growth for the year at a business conference podium.
  • Once again Starmer addresses the nation – with nothing to say

    April 2, 2026

    The Prime Minister held a press conference yesterday to update us all on the Iran war and to confirm that we’re still not in it. That’s Keir Starmer’s most valued line these days; that this isn’t our war and we’re not involved. However, despite our declared neutrality, Starmer had to concede that “the impact of [...]

  • The UK went into this crisis weak and may emerge from it broken

    March 25, 2026

    Keir Starmer may take every opportunity to stress that the UK isn’t involved in the war and wanted nothing to do with it, but our economy is nevertheless entirely at the mercy of events taking place 4,000 miles away. The prospect of a negotiated settlement (at least anytime soon) feels remote and that uncertainty is [...]

  • Middle East war ‘could plunge UK into a recession’

    March 12, 2026

    The crisis in the Middle East could plunge the UK into a recession in the worst case scenario where oil prices surge higher over the next two months, analysis has shown.  Oxford Economics research has indicated that a continued surge in oil prices would rattle “parts of the global economy”, with the UK set to [...]

  • HBO’s Industry shows finance is sexy again

    January 28, 2026

    HBO's finance romp Industry didn't make an impact in 2020. Is its 2026 rise a recession indicator? Matt Kenyon muses.

  • US tariffs war could ‘trigger UK recession’ 

    January 19, 2026

    President Trump’s latest tariff package could plunge the UK economy into a recession, top economists have warned, upping the stakes for Keir Starmer as he responds to threats against Greenland.  The US president warned leading European nations, including the UK, he would slap additional 10 per cent tariffs on goods imports if a deal for [...]

  • ‘Spectre of recession’ looms with growth set to dim in 2026

    December 22, 2025

    The government is facing a critical warning over the looming “spectre of recession” after economic growth stalled in the second half of 2025 and is expected to wane in the new year. On Monday, fresh figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) downgraded the economy’s second quarter expansion to a sluggish 0.2 per cent [...]

  • Bank of England’s Taylor: High rates could push UK into recession

    October 14, 2025

    The UK risks heading into a recession that will be “difficult to contain” if interest rates are kept on hold into next year, a Bank of England rate-setter has said in a speech that has further exposed widening splits between policymakers over the best path for borrowing costs. In a set of dovish comments made [...]

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