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OBR

  • State pension set to rise by more than expected in blow to Reeves

    October 14, 2025

    The state pension is set to rise by more than previously expected after the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revised up its figures on wage growth for July, piling extra costs on public finances for Chancellor Rachel Reeves at this year’s Budget. The ONS revised up its wage growth figure for July from 4.7 per [...]

  • Reeves considers tax breaks for startups in effort to preserve headroom 

    October 13, 2025

    Reports have suggested that Rachel Reeves is considering offering entrepreneurs new tax reliefs as she tries to stimulate growth in the economy and unlock productivity. As part of an effort to limit the damage to the current headroom of £9.9bn due to productivity downgrades by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), Reeves is reportedly discussing [...]

  • Rachel Reeves urged to levy one-off wealth tax

    October 13, 2025

    Researchers say Rachel Reeves should introduce a one-off wealth tax to avoid the “direct disincentive” of an annual levy. But the Chancellor risks wreaking havoc on the UK economy unless she breaks Labour manifesto commitments and introduces vast reforms to the wider tax system, according to a report by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). [...]

  • OBR risks being ‘unreasonably pessimistic’ as Reeves set to be given leeway

    October 10, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) risks being “unreasonably pessimistic” if it decides to downgrade productivity growth trends by more than 0.1 percentage point, fresh analysis has indicated, in what could hand Chancellor Rachel Reeves some extra leeway at this year’s Budget.  The fiscal watchdog is widely expected to downgrade productivity forecasts as part of [...]

  • Autumn Budget: ‘Window is closing’ on Labour’s growth mission

    October 9, 2025

    Ahead of the Autumn Budget, City Reporter Samuel Norman sits down with top industry names for a Budget Briefing. This week, chief executive of BusinessLDN shares what he thinks could be the capital’s 21st century moment. The “window is closing” on the government’s mission to achieve economic growth, the boss of London’s business advocacy group [...]

  • Rachel Reeves vs the Hydra (the black hole that keeps on growing)

    October 8, 2025

    Super-heroine Rachel Reeves is in battle with a mythical beast that keeps multiplying, and the OBR won't help her, writes Paul Ormerod.

  • Rachel Reeves warns ‘harder choices’ coming at Budget 

    September 29, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has warned that her choices will be “harder” at this year’s Budget, with questions being raised on whether she will row back on Labour manifesto tax commitments to plug a £30bn shortfall. In a speech at the Labour Party conference, Reeves said that “harsh global headwinds” and the effects of her Tory [...]

  • Farage confronts ‘dinosaur’ Bailey on Bank’s independence

    September 25, 2025

    Reform UK’s Nigel Farage and Richard Tice challenged Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey on Treasury losses from quantitative tightening (QT) at a showdown meeting on Thursday morning, with market instability partly caused by the programme and stablecoins regulation raised as subjects of discussion.  Farage and Tice sat down with the Bank of England Governor [...]

  • Pat McFadden says lifting two-child benefit cap must be budgeted 

    September 24, 2025

    Work and pensions secretary Pat McFadden has conceded that any plans to lift the two-child benefit cap must be “budgeted” amid growing calls from key Labour figures for the Tory-era policy to be scrapped.  McFadden warned Labour backbenchers that any commitment to lift the cap would have to be funded by higher government revenue.  “Everything [...]

  • Labour considers relaxing global talent visa in answer to Trump’s clampdown

    September 22, 2025

    A UK government task force is considering plans to remove fee costs for the global talent visa after the US slapped a $100,000 charge on one of its key worker visas.  On Friday night, President Trump put hundreds of thousands of workers on high alert after he signed an executive order adding a hefty business [...]

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