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OBR

  • State pension to top £13,000 as triple lock piles pressure on Healey

    Personal Finance

    The state pension is set to rise by £490 next year as a result of the triple lock, adding to “pressures” facing Chancellor John Healey as he draws up his first budget. New earnings growth data released on Tuesday has indicated that the triple lock pension will rise by 3.9 per cent.  The triple lock [...]

    Elderly hands holding British pound notes (£5, £10) and coins, representing pension funds and finances.
  • ‘Large tax hikes on the way’: How the global bond rout is boxing in Healey

    Economics

    Chancellor John Healey is likely to roll-out “large tax hikes” at this year’s Budget due to a rout in global bond markets pushing up the cost of government borrowing, economists have said.  A jump in the 10-year gilt yield to the highest level since August 2007 could “further erode” the £22.7bn level of fiscal headroom [...]

    John Healey smiling, holding two ice cream cones, standing in front of an ice cream van.
  • Healey told tax rises for fiscal remedy are ‘not required’

    Economics

    Chancellor John Healey does not have to raise taxes to offer the UK economy “immediate remedial action” at the Budget, a top City economist has said.  Panmure Liberum economist Simon French, who formerly worked at the Treasury, said the fiscal outlook for the government would be “broadly in the same position” as in the beginning [...]

    Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey, smiling and gesturing, speaks at a podium.
  • OBR misery makes tax rises inevitable

    July 24, 2026

    The OBR’s dire fiscal risks report portrays a world in which the only possible solution to Britain’s economic state is tax rises, says Emmanuel Igwe In ancient Greece, devotees trekked to Delphi to be told in ambiguous prose by the Pythia that chaos was nigh and only sacrifice to Apollo could hold off punishment. These [...]

  • Unfunded Digital ID will not free up new cash for Burnham’s cost of living plans

    July 21, 2026

    Andy Burnham is facing criticism from his own backbenches after claiming he would fund his cost of living plans by scrapping Labour’s digital ID scheme – despite the policy being unfunded at the last budget. In his first major policy announcement as prime minister, Burnham revealed today he would remove VAT from domestic electricity bills [...]

  • The devastating prognosis for the UK’s public finances

    July 11, 2026

    While much of the media obsesses over Nigel Farage’s fight with a man dressed as a bin, I have something more sobering to discuss as we kick off the weekend. The Office for Budget Responsibility’s report into fiscal risks and sustainability, published this week, is comfortably the most alarming yet. This is an annual review [...]

  • Pension pressure to help swell UK debt to three times size of economy

    July 7, 2026

    The growing cost of pensions is set to help swell UK public debt to three times the size of the economy and will place ‘unsustainable’ pressure on the public finances, the budget watchdog has warned, days after Andy Burnham pledged to retain the expensive triple lock after taking power. In its annual report on the [...]

  • From stamp duty to the triple lock, Andy Haldane says bold Burnham leadership can usher ‘vibe change’ for UK economy

    June 26, 2026

    Andy Haldane is pressing for a radical shake-up of the UK’s tax and wider economic systems as he heaped praise on the Prime Minister-to-be Andy Burnham for having the potential to bring a “change in vibe” across Britain.  Haldane, who is advising Burnham on economic policies and growth, urged the country’s next leader to be [...]

  • Former Bank of England rate-setter to become next OBR chair 

    June 23, 2026

    A former rate-setter at the Bank of England and member of City AM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee is set to become the chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility, the fiscal watchdog which has come under pressure from MPs and inadvertently leaked last year’s Budget.  Jonathan Haskel, professor of economics at Imperial College London, will [...]

  • The next Prime Minister can change the conversation on the fiscal rules

    June 23, 2026

    Since the defenestration of Liz Truss, the OBR has become an obsession in British politics. It need not be this way. Independent fiscal institutions are supposed to inform politics, not rule it. Other countries use them as sources of transparency, not as judge, jury and executioner, says Helen Thomas The next Prime Minister and Chancellor [...]

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