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OBR

  • Spring Statement: Rachel Reeves ‘in denial’ as growth slumps

    March 4, 2026

    Rachel Reeves has been accused of being “in denial” as she insisted that her economic plan was working even as growth forecasts were slashed and unemployment was predicted to surpass pandemic-era highs. Responding to yesterday’s Spring Statement, shadow chancellor Mel Stride said Labour’s economic agenda, which has raised the tax burden to a post-war high, [...]

  • Reeves says ‘everything is fine’ as economy burns

    March 4, 2026

    Having stripped the ‘fiscal’ element from the fiscal event, we were left with simply an event. But was it even that? It could have been called an occasion, but even that might have been stretching it. What we actually got was a Spring Statement that amounted to little more than a Labour party conference speech. [...]

  • Spring Statement: stability today, storms tomorrow

    March 3, 2026

    The Spring Statement successfully avoided immediate policy changes and provided the Chancellor with increased fiscal headroom, but risks loom from international conflict and unsustainable spending plans, says James Nation The Treasury and the Chancellor did everything possible to convince us that this time would be different. The ‘Spring Forecast Statement’ fell on a Tuesday, not [...]

  • Reeves’ Spring Statement was yet another missed opportunity

    March 3, 2026

    Rachel Reeves wanted this Spring Statement to be a non-event. In that she succeeded, says Julian Jessop The Chancellor’s Spring Statement sent a signal of “steady as she goes”. Unfortunately, what was really needed is a change of course. There was plenty of party political knockabout, but no major policy announcements and nothing to lift [...]

  • Spring Statement Live: UK growth cut for 2026 but Reeves touts future forecasts

    March 3, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Rachel Reeves delivered her Spring Statement today, as the Office for Budget Responsibility published its updated forecasts for the years ahead. The Chancellor was handed quite a hefty blow with the UK’s growth estimate for 2026 slashed to 1.1 per cent from 1.4 per cent the year prior. [...]

  • Reeves to deliver ‘stability’ Spring Statement amid turmoil in Iran

    March 3, 2026

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to deliver a Spring Statement trumpeting the UK’s economic stability against the backdrop of a war in the Middle East, with official forecasts expected to touch on lower growth, falling inflation and higher unemployment over the coming months.  In an address to the House of Commons around 12.30pm today, Reeves [...]

  • What does Rachel Reeves’ ‘low-key’ Spring Statement mean for markets?

    March 2, 2026

    Ahead of Rachel Reeves’ Spring Statement on Tuesday, Investec’s Chief Economist Philip Shaw sat down with City AM’s Rupert Hargreaves to discuss what investors should look out for in the key statement. Rupert Hargreaves: Next Tuesday, the Office for Budget Responsibility publishes updated economic and fiscal forecasts, as required under the 2011 Budget Responsibility Act, [...]

  • Business confidence slumps ahead of Spring Statement

    March 2, 2026

    Business confidence slumped back in February as directors’ frustration with the state of the UK economy grew, new research has shown.  The Institute of Directors’ latest business confidence survey has uncovered bosses’ exasperation with the UK economy and the level of employment taxes preventing them from taking on more workers.  The IoD said its economic [...]

  • Watch: Spotlight turns on Reeves – and the state of our economy

    February 26, 2026

    We haven’t heard much from Rachel Reeves so far this year – probably a deliberate strategy – but is the Chancellor set to make waves next week at the Spring Statement? Rachel Reeves didn’t have a great 2025. UK quarterly GDP growth peaked in Q1 at 0.7 per cent as firms front-loaded their activity to [...]

  • Made to be broken? Reeves urged to keep fiscal rules 

    February 26, 2026

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been urged to keep her fiscal rules amid growing calls for tweaks to be made to factor in long-term investments and demands for higher defence spending.  Richard Hughes, the most recent chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), called on Reeves to see out her fiscal rules through parliament. Appearing [...]

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