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OBR

  • Wealth and stealth: Starmer eyes fresh tax hikes

    July 9, 2025

    Keir Starmer has refused to rule out a wealth tax or so-called stealth taxes, a day after the fiscal watchdog said unfunded spending commitments on welfare put the public finances under intense pressure.  The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) gave a damning verdict of the state of public finances in a comprehensive report published on [...]

  • Alarming OBR forecast is too optimistic – debt is set to be 647 per cent of GDP

    July 9, 2025

    The OBR is being far too optimistic in its assumptions about productivity growth in the UK – meaning the scale of the country’s debt problem is even greater than it appears, says Ben Ramanauskas According to the OBR’s forecast, the National Debt is projected to be over 270 per cent of GDP by the 2070s. [...]

  • Brutal bean-counters break the news: we’re utterly broke

    July 9, 2025

    These are difficult times for a news organisation that likes to think of itself as being on the glass-half-full side of life. Optimism is in short supply, and whatever reserves remained after 12 months of this government were snatched away from us yesterday by those bean-counting assassins at the Office for Budget Responsibility. Once a [...]

  • Sir Robert Chote to leave UK Statistics Authority 

    July 8, 2025

    Sir Robert Chote has resigned as chairman of the UK Statistics Authority, which oversees official data published by a range of bodies including the Office for National Statistics.  The UK Statistics Authority, an arms-length government body, has been involved in scrutinising the ONS’s troubles.  Chote, who joined the UK Statistics Authority in 2022, will become [...]

  • Brits back spending cuts over tax rises

    July 8, 2025

    Voters prefer spending cuts over tax rises, fresh polling has found, putting Chancellor Rachel Reeves at odds with an electorate that has become frustrated with her economic policies.  Rachel Reeves set spending pledges in stone in June when she confirmed Labour would boost day-to-day departmental and capital spending, with the NHS receiving a fresh three-year [...]

  • UK cannot afford triple lock pension, OBR says

    July 8, 2025

    The UK government cannot afford to keep the triple lock pension, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves has faced staunch opposition from within her own party and seemingly from the wider electorate over cuts to welfare spending as she bids to meet fiscal rules that prevent high borrowing from further [...]

  • OBR warns unfunded spending to damage UK finances amid ‘daunting’ risks

    July 8, 2025

    The UK economy is set for a “daunting” year as the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned unfunded spending commitments and global trade tensions are likely to damage public finances.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves is facing pressure to assuage Labour backbenchers by not cutting welfare spending while also upholding a pledge not to raise tax [...]

  • Get ready for £30bn tax raid, City analysts warn

    July 5, 2025

    Top City economists have warned welfare U-turns and President Trump’s damage to growth prospects will lead to tax hikes worth £30bn this autumn.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves suggested last year’s £40bn tax raid on businesses, homeowners and investors was a “once in a parliament reset” while Keir Starmer has suggested the UK could not “tax [its] [...]

  • Housebuilding boost as stamp duty ‘disruptions’ fade

    July 4, 2025

    Housebuilding stopped the construction sector from crumbling as an increase in residential work in June was recorded for the first time in nine months, fresh data has suggested. S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for construction showed the sector improved slightly from May, with the decline in total business activity at the lowest level since [...]

  • Labour versus the bond markets, businesses and ballots

    July 3, 2025

    Birthdays aren’t best celebrated on a hangover but Labour’s senior leaders will be waking up with a painful headache this morning after haemorrhaging support from both bond markets and backbenchers. As dozens of Labour MPs discovered the level of influence they held over whips in parliament, unsympathetic bond traders flexed their own powers as medium-term [...]

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