Do we need to rethink Brexit’s impact on UK-EU trade? March 20, 2025 With the weekend approaching, allow me to furnish you with a classic conversation starter for the pub or a dinner party; have you heard that the OBR might have overstated the impact of Brexit on the UK’s trade with the EU? In my experience this kind of line serves as a perfect icebreaker or an [...]
Income tax will need to rise to fund defence push, Mervyn King says February 27, 2025 Speaking on Sophy Ridge's show on Sky News, Mervyn King acknowledged the government was in a "very difficult position," but criticised it for a lack of ambition.
Economists warn of tax hikes after borrowing blow February 21, 2025 Figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that tax receipts fell short of expectations in January due to the sluggish performance of the UK economy.
Pressure on Rachel Reeves grows as tax receipts disappoint February 21, 2025 Tax receipts rose at a slower pace than expected in January, new figures show, in a sign that the poor performance of the economy could have damaging fiscal consequences. According to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the government recorded a monthly surplus of £15.4bn, meaning it received more in taxes than it [...]
Growth is now near impossible. Here are 7 pleas for Reeves’ Spring Budget February 19, 2025 Growth is impossible if we continue on as we are but the Spring Budget is a chance for change, writes Steve Rigby.
Is Rachel Reeves heading for her own black Wednesday moment? February 13, 2025 If the OBR downgrades growth forecasts and the Chancellor breaks one of her own fiscal rules, it could be the beginning of the end for Rachel Reeves just as Black Wednesday was for Norman Lamont and the Major government, says Malcom Gooderham Within months of winning the 1992 general election John Major’s administration suffered a [...]
Reeves faces tough choices as recession fears mount on UK downgrade February 12, 2025 The watchdog will put together four more forecasts in the coming weeks, but the earliest draft suggests that Reeves will be facing a small deficit in March, Bloomberg reported.
Is Reeves heading for a fiscal car crash? February 6, 2025 Rachel Reeves has a deep respect for officialdom and institutions and was aghast at the way Liz Truss simply ignored the Office for Budget Responsibility when putting together her doomed ‘mini Budget.’ Cast your mind back to the early days of the Truss administration (which, as it turned out, weren’t very far from the final [...]
Tax or cut? Rachel Reeves faces fiscal headache before OBR forecasts February 5, 2025 The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) will publish its latest assessment of the UK economy on 26 March.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ fiscal rules on a ‘knife edge’ January 30, 2025 The Resolution Foundation warned that Rachel Reeves may be forced to find some extra cash through tax increases or spending cuts, or else face "market jitters".