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Monetary policy committee

  • How patient can the Bank of England be?

    AD

    Will policymakers be forced into an unexpected rate hike? Investec Chief Economist Philip Shaw explains how energy prices, wages and inflation expectations will shape the Bank of England’s next move – and reveals what he expects to happen. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) kept the Bank rate at 3.75 per cent this month, in line [...]

    Historic Royal Exchange building in London with modern skyscrapers behind, clear blue sky.
  • Bank of England may set the stage for interest rate hikes this year

    Economics

    The Bank of England could today roll the pitch for a series of interest rate hikes this year after price shocks triggered by the war in Iran rippled through the global economy in the past quarter, City analysts have predicted. Analysts across financial firms in the City are expecting the Bank to leave interest rates [...]

    Bank of England recession warning
  • ‘Door is open’ to interest rate hike as inflation fears return

    Economics

    An interest rate hike by the Bank of England this year is back on the cards as fears of continued oil and gas trade disruption across the Strait of Hormuz could push inflation higher, according to City economists.  A spike in oil prices to levels seen during the Iran war has dampened the mood across [...]

    Bank of England headquarters in 2025, showcasing modern architecture and iconic London skyline in the background.
  • Bank of England chief economist ‘not trying to be a troublemaker’ on rates split

    June 29, 2026

    The Bank of England’s chief economist has warned fellow policymakers over the risk of becoming “complacent” towards the cost of living as he defends his recent calls to hike interest rates.  Huw Pill, a member of the central bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, has voted twice to increase rates to 4 per cent in the committee’s [...]

  • Interest rates next change ‘far more likely down than up’

    June 18, 2026

    Interest rates are set to be held on Thursday in what some analysts believe could be a split decision as two Bank of England officials could back a 25 basis point hike.  The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 3.75 per cent, though some members could back a [...]

  • Interest rates set to be held as inflation to remain ‘elevated’ despite Iran peace deal

    June 15, 2026

    Interest rates are expected to be left unchanged as Bank of England policymakers wait to find out whether the Iran war peace deal holds up.  The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is set to keep interest rates at 3.75 per cent at a decision later this week. Its decision would suggest that the Bank is [...]

  • Inflation expectations at record high in interest rates signal

    June 12, 2026

    Inflation expectations hit a record high in the second quarter of the year, which could rattle Bank of England policymakers and build the case for an interest rate hike.  The Bank’s joint survey with Ipsos found that, on average, households believe inflation will rise by 3.9 per cent over the next five years.  It was [...]

  • Bank of England’s Bailey: Interest rates hike may not be needed

    May 29, 2026

    The Bank of England may not raise interest rates in response to the Iran war and has already effectively tightened monetary policy by taking the prospect of future rate cuts off the table, governor Andrew Bailey has said. In a speech in Iceland, the central banking chief said that inflation is “likely to go higher” [...]

  • End quantitative tightening now

    May 26, 2026

    Ending active quantitative tightening is not monetary loosening. The Bank must stop adding avoidable pressure to the gilt market.

  • Top Bank of England officials warn Reeves against supermarket price cap

    May 20, 2026

    Senior Bank of England officials have warned that price controls on essential goods are not an effective long-term tool to lower the cost of living, after it emerged the Treasury was pushing supermarkets to commit to cap prices of consumer staples. Speaking at a Treasury Committee appearance, governor Andrew Bailey told MPs that controlling the [...]

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