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Monetary policy committee

  • Bank of England’s Breeden says inflation ‘hump’ is transitory

    September 30, 2025

    The Bank of England’s deputy governor has warned keeping interest rates too high could drag inflation below the Bank’s two per cent target in comments that further exposed the divergence that exists among central bank officials over the long-term path of inflation. In a dovish speech delivered at Cardiff Business School, financial stability deputy chief [...]

  • Bank of England’s Pill: We should not have slowed QT bond sales

    September 23, 2025

    The Bank of England’s chief economist has hit out at colleagues’ recent decision to slow sales of the central bank’s government debt stockpile, warning it risked papering over underlying drivers of spiking government borrowing costs and causing a “more painful” crisis in the future. In a speech delivered in Geneva, Huw Pill told delegates that [...]

  • Don’t rule out another rate cut this year

    September 23, 2025

    Many are assuming the Bank of England will hold rates for the rest of the year. But scratch the surface and there is a case for another move before year-end, says Martin Beck Most analysts reckon the Bank of England is done cutting rates in 2025, a consensus reinforced by the Bank’s decision today to [...]

  • Hawks vs Doves: Bank of England’s MPC will hold interest rates – but expect dissent

    September 17, 2025

    In the last year, the Bank of England has cut interest rates five times on the expectation that price rises were easing in the UK.  When inflation hit a 41-year high of 11.1 per cent in October 2022, policymakers at the Bank warned that its fight to battle inflation was “sacrosanct”.  The relentless spiralling of [...]

  • City AM Shadow MPC votes 8-1 to HOLD interest rates

    September 16, 2025

    Leading economists from academia and the City have voted 8-1 for interest rates to be held at four per cent in City AM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ahead of the Bank of England’s own decision this week.  Top analysts, who expressed views independently of their organisations, have said that stubborn inflation above the Bank [...]

  • Bank of England predicted to not cut interest rate until 2026

    September 12, 2025

    Interest rate cuts are unlikely to take place this year, according to some of the most dovish forecasters, with City analysts split on where they will settle given the UK’s battle against high inflation and low growth.  The Bank of England is set to hold its next monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting next week, a [...]

  • Bank of England ‘under pressure’ to slow bond sales amid market tumult

    September 5, 2025

    The Bank of England should slow its quantitative tightening programme and stop active sales of long-dated bonds entirely in the wake of this week’s bond rout that saw the cost of long-term borrowing soar to its highest level this century, a group of top economists has said. Markets were rocked by a global sell-off in [...]

  • No more interest rate cuts expected as inflation runs ‘miles above target’

    August 20, 2025

    No further interest rate cuts are expected to be made this year after inflation in the year to July was higher than economists forecast.  Markets had priced in a 50 per cent chance of an interest rate cut being made at the Bank of England’s November meeting before fresh price growth data was published on [...]

  • Bank of England: Future of interest rate cuts now ‘more uncertain’  

    August 7, 2025

    The future of interest rate cuts is now “more uncertain” as the Bank of England suggested it was more worried about inflation ticking up higher than expected.  In its decision on Thursday, the Bank voted 5-4 for interest rates to be cut by 25 basis points to four per cent.  But the Bank now believes [...]

  • LIVE: Bank of England cuts interest rates to four per cent

    August 7, 2025

    The Bank of England has slashed interest rates to the lowest level in more than two years at four per cent. The decision to cut rates from 4.25 per cent comes after members were told to vote for a second time after facing a split decision. It follows the Bank’s chief economist, Huw Pill, telling [...]

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