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IFS

  • ‘Fiscal fiction’: IFS challenges Reeves’ tax measures

    Economics

    The Chancellor may need to come back for more tax rises at a future Budget, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) which warned much of the headroom Rachel Reeves carved out for herself relied on “near heroic restraint” on departmental spending in an election year. Helen Miller, the think tank’s director, said that [...]

    GettyImages 2181228120: Business professionals discussing strategy at a conference table in a modern corporate office setting
  • Brits on state pension to be caught by income tax for first time

    Personal Finance

    All Brits on the full state pension will be dragged into paying income tax in 2027 for the first time, researchers have warned, amid growing speculation that thresholds will be frozen for an extended period. The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) think tank has warned that 100 per cent of those on the full state [...]

    Getty Images logo on display, representing a renowned global visual content creator in the media and business industry.
  • Costly departures: Why an exit tax looks more likely than a wealth tax

    Wealth

    Tax experts have been queuing up to warn that a blanket tax on wealth is both unlikely and unfeasible. But as ministers insist the government will avoid tax hikes targeting average earners, could it turn to an exit tax to plug the gap? As reams of impressed tourists shuffled their way through the opulent surroundings [...]

    The Government’s ambition is for the UK to have 50 million international visitors a year by 2030.
  • Rachel Reeves should tweak fiscal rules to ease pressure, IFS says

    July 21, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves should bring forward a change to fiscal rules to ease pressures faced at spring fiscal events, a leading economics think tank has urged.  In a new briefing on public finances, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said Rachel Reeves should refrain from changing the number of times the Office for Budget Responsibility [...]

  • OBR chief says higher tax is ‘not good’ for growth – or the government

    July 15, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves risks harming the UK economy’s potential to grow by inflicting extra tax hikes on Brits, the fiscal watchdog has warned, adding that the government risks losing out on returns in the longer run.  Rachel Reeves looks poised to raise taxes at this year’s Autumn Budget as leading City analysts believe the higher [...]

  • Wealth tax would be ‘own goal’, London bosses warns

    July 10, 2025

    The introduction of a wealth tax on Brits would yield less revenue for the government and drive investors overseas, bosses across London have warned.  Keir Starmer this week refused to answer questions on whether the government was considering a wealth tax, which was mooted by former Labour Party leader Neil Kinnock last weekend.  But business [...]

  • Wealth and stealth: Starmer eyes fresh tax hikes

    July 9, 2025

    Keir Starmer has refused to rule out a wealth tax or so-called stealth taxes, a day after the fiscal watchdog said unfunded spending commitments on welfare put the public finances under intense pressure.  The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) gave a damning verdict of the state of public finances in a comprehensive report published on [...]

  • Labour’s welfare U-turn spikes fears of tax hikes

    June 27, 2025

    The Labour government has confirmed its latest U-turn with a significant retreat on welfare reform dealing a crushing blow to Rachel Reeves’ waning fiscal headroom. The bill initially targeted restrictions on personal independence payments (PIP) and limited the sickness-related element of universal credit in a bid to shed £5bn from the welfare budget by 2030. Under [...]

  • Berenberg: Labour welfare row will lead to tax hikes and higher interest rates

    June 26, 2025

    Divisive party politics at the top of the Labour government stand to prevent the Bank of England from making further interest rate cuts, given struggles to curb spending, a leading City broker has warned.  The government is embroiled in another row over spending cuts, as £4.8bn in welfare budget savings look set to be watered down following a [...]

  • Higher tax ‘inevitable’ as PM makes defence spending pledge 

    June 24, 2025

    Keir Starmer’s fresh commitment to ramp up defence spending to five per cent as a share of GDP by 2035 will almost certainly have to be funded by more tax hikes, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)’ Paul Johnson has warned. The government’s pledge to spend 3.5 per cent of GDP on defence and a [...]

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