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debt to GDP

  • ‘Calm before the storm’: City warns Healey growth spurt won’t last

    Economics

    The UK economy’s surprise summer growth spurt is set to be “blown away” by a spike in energy prices and a recent surge in the cost of borrowing, economists have warned the government. Fresh figures revealed on Friday that the economy expanded 0.4 per cent in July, ahead of initial forecasts that predicted flat growth. [...]

    Patrick Healey in a suit with a red tie, looking contemplatively to the left, with an American flag behind him.
  • UK economy grew unexpectedly after Burnham took over as Prime Minister

    Economics

    The UK economy had surprise growth in the month Andy Burnham became Prime Minister. Official figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have revealed GDP expanded 0.4 per cent in July, racing ahead of City economists’ forecast of zero growth. This was led by 0.4 per cent growth in the UK’s mammoth services sector, [...]

    Andy Burnham, Mayor of Greater Manchester, speaking with hands gesturing, wearing a suit and glasses.
  • As it happened: FTSE 100 drops as Antofagasta prompts miner sell-off; oil prices cool

    FTSE 100 Live

    Welcome back to City AM liveblog. The FTSE 100 dropped on Thursday morning, as the mining sector dragged on the blue-chip index. Antofagasta has fallen furthest, by nearly five per cent, after investors pounced on a production shortfall and cut to full-year guidance disclosed in its update this morning. This spook has weighed on the [...]

    Glencore floated on the London Stock Exchange in 2011 and is one of the largest members of the FTSE 100.
  • UK economy grows despite Iran war hit

    July 16, 2026

    The UK economy grew marginally in May after strong performance in parts of the services sector helped soften the impact of Iran war and narrowly prevented a contraction. Fresh figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have revealed the economy grew 0.1 per cent in May, broadly in line with market expectations. The services [...]

  • As it happened: Stocks drop on Trump-Iran warning; Mahmood tipped to be chancellor

    July 16, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. The UK has received fresh economic growth data this morning which has put GDP expansion at a sluggish 0.1 per cent for the month of May. The services sector – which contributes more than 80 per cent of total economic output – grew 0.3 per cent against steep [...]

  • Borrowing can make a country rich… until it doesn’t

    March 18, 2026

    Debt can fund investment. But when it is used to pay for today’s consumption rather than tomorrow’s growth, the bill becomes unbearable, says Martin Beck At a personal level, millions borrow to buy their first home, start a business or invest in education. Used wisely, debt allows people to bring forward opportunities that would otherwise [...]

  • Forget student loans, the national debt is the real mortgage on the young

    February 27, 2026

    Debating student loan interest distracts from the far larger and permanent national debt and its interest payments, which place a compounding, long-term financial liability on younger taxpayers who already face rising costs and a weakening worker-to-retiree ratio, says Martin Beck The campaign to cut student loan interest rates is welcome. A system where balances rise [...]

  • Alarming OBR forecast is too optimistic – debt is set to be 647 per cent of GDP

    July 9, 2025

    The OBR is being far too optimistic in its assumptions about productivity growth in the UK – meaning the scale of the country’s debt problem is even greater than it appears, says Ben Ramanauskas According to the OBR’s forecast, the National Debt is projected to be over 270 per cent of GDP by the 2070s. [...]

  • Relentless surge in government debt is unsustainable says BIS

    May 27, 2025

    Policymakers across the world need to get a grip on the relentless surge in public government debt, a leading economist has warned.  Agustin Carstens, general manager of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) said fiscal authorities have a “narrow window” to put their house in order “before the public’s trust in their commitments starts to [...]

  • UK government borrowing blows past estimates on Labour’s spending plans

    May 22, 2025

    Government borrowing spiked in April, official data has shown, reflecting Rachel Reeves’s difficulties in controlling public finances.  The rise to £20.2bn in monthly borrowing was more than economists’ prediction of £18bn. Capital Economics suggested that the rise in borrowing costs since March via debt interest payments has slashed Reeves’ headroom down to £5.7bn. Tax receipts [...]

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