UK jobs market still holding up despite recession warnings August 12, 2022 The UK jobs market is defying gloomy recession forecasts, but economists have warned joblessness could rise as the country limps into the worst of the cost of living crisis, a new survey published today reveals. Vacancies surged to 1.85m last month, the highest this year, in a sign employers are still trying to grab new [...]
Truss backs Bank of England review to ensure ‘it is fit for purpose’ August 11, 2022 The biggest overhaul of the Bank of England in 25 years may be needed to ensure “it is fit for purpose,” Tory leadership front-runner Liz Truss’s campaign told City A.M. today. The comments represent an escalation in Truss’s drive to shake up the regime overseeing the Bank’s performance. She has promised to review Threadneedle Street’s [...]
US inflation shock may force Fed to launch one percentage point rate hike August 9, 2022 A scorching set of new US inflation numbers released tomorrow could force the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates by the steepest amount in recent history, Wall Street analysts are betting. Fed chief Jerome Powell and co have already had to hike the world’s most important interest rate by 225 basis points since March, the [...]
Don’t rule out even more rate rises, Bank of England’s Ramsden warns August 9, 2022 The Bank of England will have to build on the biggest rate rise in nearly 30 years to sweep inflation out of the UK, a senior official at the monetary authority said today. Dave Ramsden, deputy governor at the Bank, told Reuters “it’s more likely than not that we will have to raise Bank Rate [...]
BoE’s Bailey and co are gloomiest central bank forecasters in history, according to Goldman Sachs August 8, 2022 “No central bank has ever published as negative an economic forecast” as the Bank of England did last week, according to a top Wall Street bank. Governor Andrew Bailey and co’s prediction that the UK will tip into the longest recession since the financial crisis at the end of this year is the gloomiest of [...]
Businesses scramble to hire workers despite looming UK recession August 8, 2022 Businesses are scrambling to fill vacancies at a rapid pace despite the UK staring down the barrel of the longest recession since the financial crisis, revealed new figures published yesterday. A shortage of workers partly driven by people dipping out of the jobs market due to Covid-19 related health issues and Brexit has intensified competition [...]
Steaming US jobs market raises risk of another jumbo Fed rate hike August 7, 2022 The US jobs market is still steaming despite the world’s biggest economy wobbling under the weight of soaring inflation and higher interest rates, figures published last week showed. America added 528,000 jobs in July, pushing the unemployment rate down to 3.5 per cent, below pre Covid-19 levels, according to data from the US Labor Department. [...]
Week ahead: City braces for soft economy data and US inflation figures August 7, 2022 Top of City traders’ minds this week will be whether fresh GDP figures reveal the UK is already in the early stages of the drawn out recession the Bank of England forecast last week. Despite the economic doom, London’s FTSE 100 was broadly stable, edging 0.16 per cent lower to close the week at 7,439.74 [...]
Analysis: Historic day in the Bank of England’s 25 years of independence August 4, 2022 Today was one for the history books. The biggest jump in interest rates since the Bank of England was made independent 25 years ago. A looming recession similar in length to the financial crisis. The first time the Bank has raised rates while forecasting a protracted slump in recent memory. It is a lot to [...]
Brace for another financial crisis style recession, Bank of England warns August 4, 2022 The UK is set to slump into a recession comparable to the financial crisis, driven by the biggest inflation surge in 42 years, the Bank of England warned today. Britain’s economy will shift into reverse in the final three months of this year and stay there until the final months of next year, placing it [...]