The return of the yen carry trade is just hype December 15, 2009 ONE of the big stories of the past six months has been the growth of the dollar carry trade. This trading strategy uses a low-yielding funding currency to purchase higher-yielding assets. For most of this decade the yen has been the funding currency of choice as investors took advantage of Japanese interest rates that remained [...]
EURO’S LUSTRE HAS STARTED TO TARNISH December 15, 2009 BORIS SCHLOSSBERG DIRECTOR OF CURRENCY RESEARCH, GFT AS THE dollar maintains its fundamentals- driven rally for the second week in a row and US economic data continues to surprise to the upside, the story in the Euro-zone is becoming decidedly murky. Last week concerns about the fiscal integrity of Greece weighed on the euro and [...]
FOREX FLASH December 15, 2009 Dovish RBA bad news for Aussie The strong Australian dollar was hit yesterday by the latest minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which showed that the decision to raise rates was a finely balanced one. Although there are further RBA hikes in the pipeline, the central bank is aware of the impact that [...]
THE TIPSTER December 15, 2009 EUROPEAN policymakers have been complaining about an overly strong euro-dollar for weeks but it would appear that the price to pay for a weak euro is sovereign debt fears and renewed jitters over the Eurozone’s banking sector. While Greece is still struggling to bring its deficit under control, speculation that Austrian bank Oesterreichische Volksbanken has [...]
Fears over Greek and Austrian banks send FTSE shares down December 15, 2009 Britain’s leading share index shed 0.6 per cent yesterday, snapping a three-session rally with banks hit by some renewed sector caution, while oils and miners fell as a strengthening dollar weighed on metal prices. At the close, the FTSE 100 was 29.57 points lower at 5,285.77 after having gained one per cent on Monday to [...]
Inflation worries spark dollar rally December 15, 2009 Higher-than-expected November US inflation fuelled demand for the dollar yesterday. but weighed on stocks and bonds as investors feared the Federal Reserve may need to raise rates faster than anticipated. Oil futures prices rose almost two per cent to settle above $70 a barrel following nine sessions of losses, offering some support to energy stocks. [...]
The financial crisis has emboldened London’s rivals, but the City can survive December 15, 2009 ONE of the effects of the financial downturn has been to highlight to what extent the modern economy is globalised. This has happened in two ways. Firstly, the crisis proved just how interconnected economies are. As if by magic, dodgy mortgages in Arkansas can now cause job-losses in Manila, and deals made in Scottish boardrooms [...]
Crude oil to spike higher over the next 12 months December 14, 2009 UNTIL the start of this month crude oil had been trading in a tight range between $75 and $80. But those commodity analysts who argued that the price of a barrel of oil did not justify its supply and demand fundamentals will be feeling rather smug right now. Since the start of December, crude oil [...]
THE TIPSTER December 14, 2009 NEWS that British Airways’ cabin crew has voted in favour of strike action, combined with the state of the airline’s pension scheme has put further downward pressure on the airline’s share price. On a technical level, shares are currently blocked from any further progress by a resistance line in place on the daily chart since [...]
Despite Dubai’s rescue, traders’ concerns over debt persist December 14, 2009 THE news yesterday that Abu Dhabi had bailed out Dubai to the tune of $10bn gave indices across the world an extra boost. Adding to the good news in the market was Citigroup’s proposal to pay back the US government the money it owes, including an issue of $17bn of stock immediately. No doubt Citigroup [...]