Technical signs point to dollar domination over the euro February 16, 2010 THE latest revelation in the Greek debt saga is that investment banks on Wall Street helped Greece and other southern European economies to move some of their debt off of their balance sheets through the use of securitisation and swaps over the past 15 years. This allowed them to reduce their official budget deficit figures [...]
RISK TRADE IS HEADING DOWN UNDER February 16, 2010 TURN on financial television these days and you see nothing but a procession of analysts offering their eulogies for the Eurozone. In fact, the worries about the fragmentation of the EU have become so uniform and the chorus of euro bears has become so loud that the euro may be due a bounce as short-term [...]
Play the Asian growth story using the baht February 16, 2010 LAST week the Vietnamese authorities devalued the dong by 3.4 per cent against the US dollar, the second adjustment to the currency in three months. But, its Asian neighbours are not going to follow its lead, and some currencies could actually appreciate in the coming months. The Bank of Thailand specifically ruled out a devaluation, [...]
The Tipster February 16, 2010 EURO-dollar has had an aggressive move lower from the November high of $1.5411 to a low of $1.3531 last week. Looking at the longer-term charts the $1.35 – $1.37 region is fairly significant. We would expect to see a short to medium term bounce from these levels, driven primarily by investors taking their profits. Although [...]
FOREX FLASH February 16, 2010 SWISSIE TO RALLY FURTHER DESPITE SNB Currency forecasters said that currency speculators are betting that the recent slide in the euro will hinder the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) campaign to slow the rallying Swiss franc. Swiss central bank president Philippe Hildebrand has found it difficult to bring the Swissie’s appreciation under control as investors seeking [...]
Investors go back to fundamentals as they lose their taste for carry February 16, 2010 IN THE second half of 2009, the dollar-funded carry trade was the primary strategy used to play the foreign exchange markets. The low interest rates set by the Federal Reserve combined with the weakening of the greenback meant that traders were happy to sell low-yielding dollars in search of higher-yielding currencies such as the Australian [...]
Volatile foreign exchange markets are back on the agenda for 2010 February 16, 2010 SIX months ago, it seemed that the worst of the global crisis was over. The markets had calmed down, the economic recovery appeared to be firmly on track and traders seemed to have regained their risk appetite. But just as we thought things were on the mend, a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone coupled [...]
Banks and commodities make gains as Wall Street is closed for public holiday February 15, 2010 BRITAIN’S leading shares rose 0.5 per cent yesterday, led by firmer banks and commodity issues after falls in the previous session, while British Airways climbed on increased hopes for a global alliance. At the close, the FTSE 100 was 25.02 points higher at 5,167.47, well below the session peak of 5,194.29. Blue chips drifted off [...]
European stocks boosted despite Greek concerns February 15, 2010 EUROPEAN shares closed higher yesterday, supported by gains in banks and miners while defensive food producers fell, but a lack of clarity over eurozone support for Greece was seen capping further gains for equities. The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares provisionally closed 0.4 per cent higher at 991.76 points, after falling 0.3 per [...]
There’s still some sweetness left in the price of raw sugar this year February 15, 2010 IF THERE was any commodity guaranteed to provide sweet profits for traders in the second half of 2009 it was sugar. Raw prices have more than doubled since mid-2009 to almost 30 cents per pound at the end of January, their highest level since 1981. Like other commodities, sugar has since taken a bit of [...]