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Economics

  • Bank of England’s Taylor: Trade with China to drive interest rate cuts

    January 14, 2026

    Cheap goods flooding into the UK from China will lower inflation and prompt the Bank of England to cut interest rates further, a member of the Monetary Policy Committee has said.  Alan Taylor, considered to be the most dovish rate-setter on the MPC, warned that cheap goods flowing in from China would lower inflation over [...]

  • The City has moved on from Brexit

    January 14, 2026

    Whisper it, but Brexit is slowly inserting itself back into our national conversation. We remain, thankfully, a long way from the frenzied tribalism of the referendum campaign or the energy-sapping parliamentary drama that followed, but while these days Nigel Farage may be more interested in small boats than backstops, the issues is being discussed – [...]

  • Former OBR chair takes aim at Rachel Reeves’ fiscal rules 

    January 13, 2026

    The former chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility has taken aim at Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ fiscal rules, suggesting they prevent UK public finances from building enough “resilience”.  In his first public appearance since his resignation last month due to the leaked Budget, Richard Hughes said the current fiscal rules were “among the loosest” the [...]

  • Vast majority of Brits expect more damaging tax hikes in 2026

    January 13, 2026

    Nearly four in five Brits are bracing themselves for further tax rises this year, with voters fearing that more money going into government coffers will damage growth.  Keir Starmer has kicked off the year with pitches on improving the cost of living for millions of people across the country.  Extra welfare payments for some families [...]

  • Chinese embassy to get green light despite ‘threat to City’

    January 13, 2026

    The new Chinese embassy in London is set to get the green light from Keir Starmer this week, according to reports, amid fresh questions around security concerns were raised on Monday night.  The new mega embassy at the Royal Mint Court near the City of London is expected to get the Prime Minister’s sign-off ahead [...]

  • Stride vows to protect OBR in new dividing line with Farage

    January 12, 2026

    Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride has vowed to protect the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) in any future Conservative government, drawing a dividing line with Reform’s Nigel Farage on approaches to controlling public finances.  Stride is expected to re-establish the Conservative Party’s firm commitment to maintaining the fiscal watchdog as an independent body scoring the effects [...]

  • No growth expected for November due to late Budget

    January 12, 2026

    New GDP figures this week will show zero growth in the UK economy as weeks of uncertainty around the Budget weighed down on activity in November, according to economists.  A Bloomberg poll of economists predicted the Office for National Statistics (ONS) to write in zero GDP growth in the second last month of the year.  [...]

  • Jobseeker numbers rise ‘sharply’ in labour market setback

    January 12, 2026

    The number of jobseekers rose “sharply” in December alongside a slump in demand for new hires, analysis has shown, posing a threat to the future of the UK labour market.  Analysis of S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) indicated the jobs market weakened further at the end of last year, undermining hopes of a recovery [...]

  • Business confidence lowest in nearly five years, BDO says

    January 12, 2026

    Business confidence fell to its lowest level in nearly five years, an advisory company indicated, as the Labour government is expected to oversee a small improvement in the UK economy this year.  BDO’s optimism index, which tracks sentiment by surveying 4,000 executives, dropped to its weakest reading since January 2021 at the end of last [...]

  • Manufacturers warn UK faces ‘tipping point’ on competitiveness

    January 12, 2026

    The Labour government has been handed a major warning over the future of the manufacturing industry as the sector battles rising costs and pressures to shift business to shift overseas. A fresh survey from the sector’s industry body Make UK showed senior executives in manufacturing firms feared cost pressures would soon reach a “tipping point”. [...]

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