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Economics

  • Will the Autumn Budget push up inflation?

    October 30, 2025

    For a few weeks, there was one thing Rachel Reeves appeared to speak about more than anything else: inflation.  Earlier this month, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) confirmed inflation hit 3.8 per cent in the year to September, nearly double the Bank of England’s target rate. The IMF and the OECD said the UK [...]

  • Tories call for Starmer to sack Rachel Reeves

    October 30, 2025

    The Tories are calling for Keir Starmer to sack Rachel Reeves as Chancellor for breaking the law. In a ratcheting up of the political pressure on Reeves, the opposition party has said the Chancellor should be fired for failing to register her family home when she rented it out before moving to Downing Street. In [...]

  • Rachel Reeves considers income tax hike and national insurance cut

    October 30, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves is eyeing up a simultaneous 2p hike to income tax and 2p cut to national insurance, it has been reported, in an effort to raise some £6bn. Reeves is considering the controversial tax hike, according to The Telegraph, which would breach the Labour Party manifesto and risk infuriating voters. It would also [...]

  • Business owners still plan staff cuts due to last year’s NICs raid 

    October 30, 2025

    Nearly half of business owners are still planning to reduce headcounts in response to Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ £25bn tax hike on employers’ national insurance contributions (NICs), a new survey has indicated, pointing to the long-lasting economic effects of a brutal tax raid in her first Budget.  Reeves made sweeping tax hikes last year to fund [...]

  • ‘Unprecedented’ number of small businesses expect to shrink or close down

    October 30, 2025

    A record number of small businesses are expecting to shrink or close down in the next year, a leading industry group has warned, amid a “vicious” cycle of low growth and fears that next month’s Budget could cause more pain for businesses. Nearly one in three of the UK’s small businesses (30 per cent) expect [...]

  • Pound falls to 2023 low against Euro as Budget jitters spike

    October 29, 2025

    The Pound suffered a sharp drop on Wednesday as investors braced for an economic hit in Rachel Reeves’ forthcoming Budget. Sterling’s downturn came as the UK’s fiscal watchdog looks set to hand a hefty downgrade to the country’s productivity growth. On Wednesday morning, the pound fell 0.4 per cent against the Euro to 1.13 – [...]

  • Mortgage lending hits highest level since March amid pre-Budget rush

    October 29, 2025

    Net borrowing of mortgage debt rose to the highest level since March this year, money and credit statistics published by the Bank of England have shown, in signs that Brits are rushing to buy homes before any new property taxes are announced at the Budget. Net borrowing rose by £1.2bn to £5.5bn while mortgage approvals [...]

  • Keir Starmer refuses to rule out income tax raid at the Budget

    October 29, 2025

    Keir Starmer dodged questions on whether Labour would raise income tax, VAT or national insurance, the clearest sign yet that the government is looking at breaking key party manifesto commitments on taxes.  During Prime Minister’s Questions on Wednesday, Kemi Badenoch grilled Starmer on whether Rachel Reeves was laying the groundwork for an income tax raid [...]

  • Why the ONS would survive my cull of X accounts

    October 29, 2025

    If I had to cull the number of accounts I follow on X to just ten, @ONS would make the grade. As for the other 9, I’d be reluctant to say goodbye to @PaintingsLondon, @MattCartoonist, @createstreets or @DiaperDiplomacy but I reckon as long as I retained the Office for National Statistics I could continue to [...]

  • Firms brace for ‘difficult winter’ as tax burden weighs on activity

    October 29, 2025

    Companies across the private sector are braced for a “difficult” winter as activity is forecast to downturn across UK services due to mounting tax fears, fresh research has indicated.  A leading survey by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), considered to be one of the UK’s most influential business groups, has suggested that private sector [...]

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