Bank of England chief economist Pill admits we ‘underestimated’ inflation surge January 9, 2023 The Bank of England did not understand inflation “well enough” and “underestimated” the strength of the 40-year high price surge, its chief economist admitted in a speech in the US today. Huw Pill said with “the benefit of hindsight,” the central bank’s “own analysis” failed to foresee inflationary pressures magnified by global supply chain pressures [...]
Exclusive: UK firms stop hiring and mull layoffs as recession takes hold January 9, 2023 Layoffs are on course to climb, driven by businesses cutting costs amid what risks being the longest UK recession in memory, exclusive research shared with City A.M. indicates. Firms are planning to pause hiring or even sack workers to protect their finances from a slump in spending sparked by the cost of living crisis. Nearly [...]
UK’s cost of living crisis will swipe over £2k from Brits pockets with some groups expected to feel squeeze of recession even more January 9, 2023 The UK is just halfway through a cost of living crisis that will swipe £2,100 year from incomes with living standards remaining at pre Covid levels until at least 2028, a report out today has revealed. The cost of living crisis which, when combined with a tough recession, will leave households worse off than they [...]
Covid variant, China invasion of Taiwan and more inflation: What shocks will 2023 bring? January 8, 2023 A new Covid-19 variant that escapes vaccines is among the biggest risks threatening to sharpen the UK recession, City economists surveyed by City A.M. suspect. Asked what wildcard trends could spring up to hit the economy this year, experts warned another deadly strain of the virus spreading is one of the biggest headwinds that would [...]
Week ahead: UK economy to enter recession in all but name as JP Morgan kicks off earnings season January 8, 2023 The UK economy is set to enter a recession in all but name after official figures out later this week will likely reveal output slumped again in November. Fresh gross domestic product (GDP) numbers, set to be released on Friday, will top London investors’ minds in a week that sees Wall Street banking giants kick [...]
Rishi Sunak hits back at critics of inflation promise but warns government ‘can’t help anybody’ if prices don’t fall January 8, 2023 Rishi Sunak has today claimed halving inflation by the end of the year – one of his five promises to the British public – will happen “because of the plans [the government] have put in place”. Speaking to the BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme, the prime minister doubled down on a series of pledges [...]
US Data in Focus as we begin 2023 January 6, 2023 | City Talk Back again for another year of trading and our focus immediately shifts to the world’s largest economy in the midst of the impending global recession that we are looking at heading into the rest of 2023. As manufacturing has showed a continuing slowdown this week we turn our attention to the first non-farm payrolls release [...]
US economy adds more jobs than expected in headache for Fed January 6, 2023 The US economy added more jobs than expected last month, but cooling wage growth may convince the Federal Reserve to hold off on repeating jumbo interest rate hikes this year, official figures out today reveal. Some 223k Americans bagged a new job last month, down slightly from November, according to data from the US Bureau [...]
Recession spreads to British construction as experts brace for a jump in unemployment and the cost of living January 6, 2023 British builders are being dragged into a slump by the recession that has taken hold in the wider economy, a closely watched survey has revealed.. S&P Global and the Chartered Institute of Procurement and Supply’s (CIPS) final purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for the construction sector for December fell to 48.8 from 50.4. The reading means [...]
European inflation falls quicker than expected but recession fears will weigh on likely ECB rate hikes January 6, 2023 Inflation in Europe is falling faster than expected, but there are signs the worldwide price surge that is set to bring on a global recession may not be finished just yet, official figures out today reveal. A flash estimate by stats agency Eurostat for the rate of price increases in the eurozone came in at [...]