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Economics

  • Inflation stays above Bank of England’s target before Iran war

    March 25, 2026

    Inflation in the year to February remained well above the Bank of England’s target rate in the last piece of price data covering the period before war in the Middle East erupted.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that CPI inflation over the 12 month period was three per cent, staying flat on the [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Stocks soar as Trump claims ‘victory’ in Iran; Economists clash on inflation

    March 25, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Fresh figures this morning revealed inflation rose three per cent in the year to February 2026, unchanged from the 12 months to January 2026. Grant Fitzner said: “The largest upwards driver was the price of clothing, which rose this month but fell a year ago. “This was offset [...]

  • The UK went into this crisis weak and may emerge from it broken

    March 25, 2026

    Keir Starmer may take every opportunity to stress that the UK isn’t involved in the war and wanted nothing to do with it, but our economy is nevertheless entirely at the mercy of events taking place 4,000 miles away. The prospect of a negotiated settlement (at least anytime soon) feels remote and that uncertainty is [...]

  • Unemployment is rising and top bosses want to do something about it

    March 25, 2026

    Business giants have come together to find ways of hiring more people currently out of work as private sector bosses move to play a more active role in improving the state of the UK labour market.  Company chiefs from the likes of BT, Shell, Marks & Spencer and Pret have joined a new, non-governmental ‘Employer [...]

  • Bank of England chief economist: Interest rates can ‘contain’ inflation

    March 24, 2026

    The chief economist at the Bank of England has said interest rates can “contain” inflation as he vowed to act against the damaging effects of the war in Iran.  Huw Pill, a member of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, said he was focused on getting price growth down to two per cent in the medium [...]

  • UK economy facing ‘pronounced recession’

    March 24, 2026

    The war in the Middle East is “stalling growth” in the UK economy, fresh data has shown, as economists warned that a “pronounced recession” will come if energy prices stay high. A monthly survey of business activity across the country has suggested that there was a slowdown in output as well as a fall in [...]

  • Reeves pledges targeted support as she blasts Liz Truss’ £40bn energy bailout

    March 24, 2026

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves hit out at a Tory government-era energy support package that cost around £40bn in a further indication that any Labour scheme would only be for the poorest households.  In an address to the House of Commons, Reeves said there were “contingency plans” being drafted for different scenarios where energy prices stay higher [...]

  • UK recession is ‘real possibility’ as Reeves meets City analysts 

    March 24, 2026

    The UK economy faces a “real possibility” of falling into a recession, a City economist has warned, as Chancellor Rachel Reeves and pensions minister Torsten Bell met with gilt analysts to discuss the shock from the war in the Middle East.  The Chancellor invited top economists from firms key to the gilt markets to the [...]

  • ‘Crossroads’: Oil prices hold firm as markets sour on Trump’s peace talks

    March 24, 2026

    The price of oil held firm on Tuesday morning as markets faced a “crossroads” following the latest bait-and-switch from President Trump amid the crisis in the Middle East. Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil, broke $100 again in early trading in Asia after a four per cent gain. Prices have dipped a touch but [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Stocks dip; Reeves give energy update as oil prices jump

    March 24, 2026

    Good morning and welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Oil is back on the rise this morning following a series of mixed messages on Monday that brought forward a day of whiplash for global markets. The trading session started with nosedives into the red as markets digested President Trump’s 48 hour ultimatum on Iran, [...]

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