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Economics

  • Pound slumps as recession fears mount

    August 27, 2008

    Prospect of interest rate cuts pushes sterling and the euro down as the greenback surges Growing recession fears and expectations of interest rate cuts sent the pound tumbling to a two year low against the dollar yesterday. Markets are now pricing in a 75 basis point cut in interest rates over the next 12 months, [...]

  • Bet on inflation to beat the downturn

    August 26, 2008

    The market climate has created just the right conditions to make a mint, says Katie Hope It’s pretty grim out there at the moment. Food and fuel prices are rising at the fastest rate on record, contributing to soaring inflation. Even Bank of England governor Mervyn King, who is charged with keeping inflation at around [...]

  • The Olympic games are over – but Asia is still where the growth is to be found

    August 26, 2008

    It was Aztec Camera who once sang “Summer in the City and the air is still”. I don’t know about the air, but the equity markets have been relatively quiet over the last week, except for a Warren Buffett induced bounce on Friday. Thank goodness – I don’t think any of us needed another August [...]

  • Turmoil is as bad as the 70s, warns deputy governor

    August 26, 2008

    The current financial downturn is at least as bad as the 1970s, according to the Bank of England’s new deputy governor who has warned that there is no end in sight to the downturn. In an interview with the BBC, economist Charlie Bean, who took over as deputy governor earlier this year, said the current [...]

  • Eurozone fall raises global slump fears

    August 15, 2008

    Fears of a global recession heightened yesterday as the eurozone economy recorded its first contraction since the single currency was introduced ten years ago. In the three months to June, gross domestic product (GDP) in the 15-country region fell by 0.2 per cent, according to Eurostat, the European Union’s statistical office. The contraction marks a [...]

  • It’s chilly in the summer air

    August 14, 2008

    It could just be the weather, but it was a decidedly grumpy Bank of England governor who chaired the central bank’s quarterly inflation report yesterday. Looking thin-lipped and put-upon, Mervyn King gave an impassioned explanation of why it was not his or the Bank’s fault that inflation is high, and rising. Not since Pontius Pilot [...]

  • US assets are back in vogue

    August 14, 2008

    Investors are seeking safety in US assets as the economic downturn spreads to Europe, research revealed yesterday. A majority, 53 per cent of fund managers, expect the dollar to appreciate and 38 per cent plan to overweight US equities during the next 12 months, according to Merrill Lynch’s monthly fund manager survey. Both readings are [...]

  • King predicts more pain as growth dives

    August 14, 2008

    Unemployment and inflation on the rise; growth, houses and sterling on the slide Bank of England (BoE) governor Mervyn King yesterday refuted claims he had lost control of the economy as the central bank issued its darkest assessment of the UK economy since it gained its independence in 1997. In its quarterly inflation report, the [...]

  • Jury out for interest rate

    August 13, 2008

    Analysts were divided yesterday on what the unexpected leap in inflation would mean for the direction of interest rates. The 4.4 per cent annual inflation rate is more than double the Bank of England’s two per cent target. Normally such a sharp increase would lead to an automatic rise in official rates, but with the [...]

  • Sterling slumps as inflation surges to a 16-year record

    August 13, 2008

    Today’s Bank of England quarterly report will slash UK economic growth forecasts A surge in inflation sent sterling tumbling to a 21-month low yesterday as City economists warned that the chances of recession are increasing. Consumer price inflation (CPI) jumped by 4.4 per cent in the year to July, fuelled by rocketing food and oil [...]

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