US jobs number misses expectations but unlikely to affect Fed tapering decision October 22, 2013 We've finally seen a nonfarm payrolls (NFP) print after weeks of waiting. Delayed by the shutdown, the newest data shows weak job additions in September, with 148,000 jobs created. Consensus forecasts suggested that we'd see 180,000 jobs added. The unemployment rate falls from 7.3 to 7.2 per cent (the lowest since November 2008), with average [...]
Fed’s Evans says decision on taper will be tough at December meeting October 21, 2013 IT WILL be “tough” for the Federal Reserve to have sufficient confidence in the strength of the US recovery by its meeting in December to start scaling back its massive bond-buying campaign, one of its senior officials said yesterday. “October is a tough one. December? I think we need a couple of good labour reports and [...]
London Report: FTSE rises again on talk of £1bn bid for G4S arm October 21, 2013 BRITAIN’S top share index rose for the eighth straight session yesterday, led by G4S on talk of a bid for one of its businesses in a market supported by the prospects of US monetary policy remaining ultra-loose for longer. G4S rose 3.5 per cent, a top riser, after a report that British private equity group [...]
New York Report: McDonald’s US report feeds a fear of equities October 21, 2013 US STOCKS ended little changed last night as lacklustre earnings reports from McDonald’s and others fed concerns that equities were overpriced after the S&P index’s run to record highs last week. Investors also showed a reluctance to make aggressive bets ahead of today’s release of US payrolls data for September, which was delayed by the [...]
Fed QE taper fears on hold for now October 21, 2013 But a subsequent rally in global equities may be short-lived given the lingering uncertainties Global equities traded close to five-year highs yesterday, in part buoyed by expectations of a delay to the Federal Reserve’s tapering of its quantitative easing (QE) programme. The MSCI world index rose 0.7 per cent before dropping slightly, and the FTSE [...]
DailyFX: Analyst picks October 21, 2013 CURRENCY STRATEGIST CHRIS VECCHIO My pick: Short dollar-yen, long Aussie-yen Expertise: Fundamental and technical analysis Average time frame of trades: A few hours to a few weeks My dollar-yen short remains viable, despite cooling US fiscal tensions, as the Fed is unlikely to taper in October. US yields should remain under pressure (if not capped). [...]
Fed’s Evans sees tapering delayed after Washington battle October 21, 2013 Federal Reserve dove Charles Evans has said that tapering is going to take longer as a result of the US government standoff, saying that the Fed "needs to do whatever is necessary". A little spin on the "whatever it takes" line we're so familiar with central bankers spouting. Evans said that he doesn't think about [...]
What you need to know before the open – 21/10 October 21, 2013 With US data restarting this week, it's back to business as usual. A record week for US markets last week, we also saw European counterparts looking positive. *Nikkei Ends Up 0.9% at 14,693.57 underpinned by a strong performance on Wall Street and expectations Fed will delay trimming its stimulus. — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 21, [...]
An absent US resolution leaves commodities gloomy October 18, 2013 With no enduring resolution to the US debt ceiling debate, commodities will remain in the doldrums, says Goldman Sachs. The investment bank warns that the uncertainty around the debt ceiling is being viewed as an extension of QE, with delays on a tapering decision complicating the Fed's reaction function. It isn't clear whether the absence [...]
What you need to know before the open – 18/10 October 18, 2013 Markets in Europe are expected to open up this morning following another record close on the S&P500 last night. With a 16-day shutdown over and the possibility of a default put off for the time being, taper talks are resuming in the US but it's unlikely that anything will happen before the next debt ceiling [...]