Russia’s food ban sanctions against EU farmers threaten Eurozone August 8, 2014 Sanctions slapped on EU farmers by the Russian government could help to push Eurozone inflation even lower, potentially forcing price growth into negative territory. Inflation in the euro area is already running at just 0.4 per cent, where even a small drop could push the region into deflation. Economists fear the single currency could [...]
Draghi: Ukraine crisis a threat to the Eurozone economy August 7, 2014 Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), today admitted that the Ukraine crisis represented a threat to the Eurozone economy. The geopolitical concerns surrounding the Ukraine crisis and in particular the import ban imposed by Russia, were highlighted as a potential risk to European economic outlook by Draghi, but he insisted that [...]
Investment Comment: European earnings could be set to come back with a bang August 5, 2014 There is a question mark looming over European equities – when will companies deliver on earnings? So far, underwhelming earnings growth has done little to support the market’s upward march. In our view, that is poised to change. The Eurozone has a real and sustainable economic recovery underway, following four consecutive quarters of positive [...]
Inflation slips to lowest since 2009 for Eurozone July 31, 2014 Inflation weakened even further in the Eurozone during July, dropping to just 0.4 per cent, the lowest level since the aftermath of the financial crisis. The consumer price index (CPI) has been growing increasingly slowly since the middle of 2012, and was last above the European Central Bank (ECB) target level of two per cent [...]
Inflation jumps to biggest monthly increase since October 2012 July 15, 2014 UK consumer inflation unexpectedly jumped to 1.9 per cent in June, according to latest figures from the Office of National Statistics (ONS). Headline annual consumer price inflation (CPI) recorded a much higher increase than had been forecast, rising 0.4 percentage points on the May figure. That is the biggest monthly increase since October 2012 [...]
London Report: Unemployment figures set to show recovery July 14, 2014 UNEMPLOYMENT figures this week are expected to show that the number of people out of work has dropped again, as the UK recovery takes hold. Jobs data is likely to show an unemployment rate of 6.5 per cent in the three months to May, down from 6.9 per cent in the quarter to February. Despite [...]
Strongest retail deflation ever recorded as prices slip further July 8, 2014 UK shop prices are declining at the fastest pace in at least eight years, with non-food prices shrinking even further in June. The latest report from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and Nielsen suggests that shop prices dropped by 1.8 per cent in June, the largest fall the group has recorded since beginning the series [...]
Best of the Brokers for 03 July 2014 July 2, 2014 To appear in Best of the Brokers, email your research to notes@cityam.com OCADO GROUP Deutsche Bank has upped Ocado to “hold” after six months on a “sell” rating, reducing the target price to 330p from 350p. The broker thinks while there has been a slowdown in sales growth, expectations are more realistic, and there is [...]
Higher core Eurozone inflation may allow ECB to “wait and see” June 30, 2014 Inflation in the euro area has held steady in June, static at an annual rate of 0.5 per cent, according to data released by Eurostat. Fears over the disinflationary climate in the Eurozone prompted the European Central Bank (ECB) to take action this month, with president Mario Draghi delivering a package of measures aimed at [...]
Weak inflation helps to boost family finances June 23, 2014 Households have more spending power than at any time in the past four and a half years, with less pressure on essential spending and especially energy bills. Lloyds Bank’s latest barometer of consumer confidence reached 146 in May, according to research released this morning, well above the 100 level set in January 2010. The index [...]