Winning the battle for completely free trade post-Brexit will vastly increase UK prosperity February 16, 2017 Economists for Free Trade (of which I’m part) is launching today to make the case for the UK to run completely free trade once we leave the EU in 2019. Our aim is simple. We want Britain to lead the world on free trade. Our group has been formed to fight the battle which needs [...]
We must take a wrecking ball to political correctness to achieve our true economic potential February 9, 2017 Just how big is the size of the state in the UK? A simple question you might think. Surely all you need is a numerator (a tax or public spending measure) and a denominator (a GDP measure)? Divide one by the other and hey presto there’s your size measure – as a proportion of GDP. [...]
I can’t help but worry about the potential for the mother of all house price crashes January 26, 2017 The year opened with alarming newspaper headlines in The Daily Telegraph on the risk of a global property price crash. How worried should we be in the UK? The ratio of house prices to incomes in the UK is close to the all-time high it reached before the financial crisis. If that ratio mean reverts over [...]
The Brexit I love versus the Brexit I fear: A British renaissance or a missed opportunity January 19, 2017 What will the UK economy look like outside the EU, 10 years from now? Nobody knows the precise answer to this question but we can generate likely potential scenarios. What follows are two scenarios, the Brexit I love and the Brexit I fear. The Brexit I love is where the UK is open to the [...]
So much could go wrong – but America’s President-elect gives free marketeers plenty to cheer January 12, 2017 Within days, Donald J Trump will be the forty-fifth President of the United States, and his economic team will be charged with the task of translating an economic manifesto into actual policy. As a passionate supporter of free trade, I have problems with The Donald’s America First trade policy. But when I look at the [...]
The optimal Brexit strategy is really quite simple – if Britain leaves the Customs Union January 5, 2017 Discombobulate means to confuse or disconcert. It’s a word which is likely to become very apt as politicians and the media struggle to define the Brexit strategy between now and the end of March – the deadline for initiating Article 50. For the life of me I can’t work out why everybody seems to be [...]
All I want for Christmas is… an ultra-hard Brexit (and nine other pro-growth policy wishes) December 22, 2016 Here is my Christmas wish list for Santa. Ten policy measures which, if implemented, would make future growth prospects truly joyous, with Christmas every day of the week. But these are also economic policy measures Santa won’t be too familiar with, as he boards his sleigh somewhere north of the Nordic economies. I don’t pretend [...]
Five reasons the Anglosphere is more than just a romantic vision – but has real geopolitical teeth December 15, 2016 The Anglosphere, a concept that can trace its lineage back to Winston Churchill’s A History of the English Speaking Peoples, has received renewed interest in the wake of the Brexit referendum. The idea of the Anglosphere has been advanced in recent times by a number of historians, such as Andrew Roberts (A History of the [...]
Undermining property rights and individual liberty is economic suicide – as Europe’s former communist states are finding out December 8, 2016 The absence of corruption and the presence of the rule of law and property rights (for all forms of assets, physical and financial) are taken for granted in the UK. We tend to think that the protection of property rights is only a problem in countries such as Zimbabwe or Venezuela. As a result, we [...]
Italy’s exit from the Eurozone is almost inevitable – whichever way it votes this weekend December 1, 2016 Two long-term trends make me worry about the Italian economy, regardless of the outcome of the referendum this weekend. First, the so-called Italian Death Cross, and second the prospect of three decades of lost growth (yes three, this isn’t a typo). In my view, these two trends make Italy’s exit from the euro almost inevitable [...]
