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Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

  • Labour warned it could miss housing targets over tax burden on sector

    Property

    A leading construction industry body has warned the Labour government could miss its ambitious house building target as employment costs and tax burdens build pressure on the sector. The Construction Plant-hire Association (CPA), which represents more than 2,000 firms providing critical machinery and expertise to the industry, told City AM Labour will fail to meet [...]

    A decrease in repair and maintenance drove the decline in construction
  • Living standards to be ‘far bleaker’ after 2026 despite Reeves’ claims

    Economics

    UK living standards are projected to drop in the two years before the next General Election as economists warned people were heading for “far bleaker” times ahead, turning up the heat on Chancellor Rachel Reeves to deliver on a commitment to ease the cost of living. Economists at the Resolution Foundation, the left-leaning Westminster think [...]

    Brits got poorer due to the high cost of living, official data has suggested.
  • Spring Statement Live: UK growth cut for 2026 but Reeves touts future forecasts

    Markets

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Rachel Reeves delivered her Spring Statement today, as the Office for Budget Responsibility published its updated forecasts for the years ahead. The Chancellor was handed quite a hefty blow with the UK’s growth estimate for 2026 slashed to 1.1 per cent from 1.4 per cent the year prior. [...]

    Rachel Reeves delivering spring statement at podium with financial charts in background, addressing economic policies.
  • Reeves to deliver ‘stability’ Spring Statement amid turmoil in Iran

    March 3, 2026

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to deliver a Spring Statement trumpeting the UK’s economic stability against the backdrop of a war in the Middle East, with official forecasts expected to touch on lower growth, falling inflation and higher unemployment over the coming months.  In an address to the House of Commons around 12.30pm today, Reeves [...]

  • What does Rachel Reeves’ ‘low-key’ Spring Statement mean for markets?

    March 2, 2026

    Ahead of Rachel Reeves’ Spring Statement on Tuesday, Investec’s Chief Economist Philip Shaw sat down with City AM’s Rupert Hargreaves to discuss what investors should look out for in the key statement. Rupert Hargreaves: Next Tuesday, the Office for Budget Responsibility publishes updated economic and fiscal forecasts, as required under the 2011 Budget Responsibility Act, [...]

  • Made to be broken? Reeves urged to keep fiscal rules 

    February 26, 2026

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been urged to keep her fiscal rules amid growing calls for tweaks to be made to factor in long-term investments and demands for higher defence spending.  Richard Hughes, the most recent chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), called on Reeves to see out her fiscal rules through parliament. Appearing [...]

  • Louise Haigh doubles down on demand for OBR overhaul 

    February 24, 2026

    Former transport secretary and vocal soft-left backbencher Louise Haigh has issued another plea for Chancellor Rachel Reeves to overhaul the Office for Budget Responsibility a week before the Spring Statement.  In a swipe at the Chancellor’s management of the UK economy, Haigh argued that mandating the watchdog to produce five-year forecast windows “risks entrenching decline”.  [...]

  • GDP: UK faces ‘most dismal decade for growth in 100 years’

    February 12, 2026

    The UK economy had a minor expansion in the fourth quarter of 2025 coming a touch below expectations as an expected boost from the services sector failed to come to fruition. Fresh figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed the economy expanded a sluggish 0.1 per cent in three months to December 2025. [...]

  • Budget documents accessed thousands of times before release

    February 10, 2026

    The budget was accessed nearly 25,000 times before its formal release, according to an official report into the leak, raising questions over the data handling practices of the UK’s fiscal watchdog. The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) said it had identified at least 24,701 successful downloads of the document, compared to the 43 spotted in [...]

  • Banks cool on interest rate cut expectations amid forecasting clash

    January 28, 2026

    Top City banks have pushed back their predictions for the Bank of England’s next interest rate cut as forecasters are split on whether high inflation could upend monetary policy decisions.  UBS Investment Bank economist Anna Titareva pushed back a call for the Bank’s next cut from February to March after the Office for National Statistics [...]

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