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Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

  • Budget documents accessed thousands of times before release

    Economics

    The budget was accessed nearly 25,000 times before its formal release, according to an official report into the leak, raising questions over the data handling practices of the UK’s fiscal watchdog. The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) said it had identified at least 24,701 successful downloads of the document, compared to the 43 spotted in [...]

    Reeves presents new budget plan focusing on sports funding, highlighting financial support for community athletic programs.
  • Banks cool on interest rate cut expectations amid forecasting clash

    Economics

    Top City banks have pushed back their predictions for the Bank of England’s next interest rate cut as forecasters are split on whether high inflation could upend monetary policy decisions.  UBS Investment Bank economist Anna Titareva pushed back a call for the Bank’s next cut from February to March after the Office for National Statistics [...]

    The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at four per cent due to stubbornly high inflation.
  • Total UK government borrowing beats OBR forecast

    Economics

    UK government has already borrowed more this year than the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast, official data has revealed, wrapping up a difficult 12 months for Rachel Reeves as she grapples with keeping public finances safe from further shocks.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) estimated public sector borrowing to have been £11.6bn over the [...]

    Rachel Reeves wearing a hard hat and high-visibility vest, inspecting construction progress at a building site
  • Starmer to U-turn on mandatory digital ID

    January 14, 2026

    Sir Keir Starmer is expected to perform another U-turn by scrapping plans to make a national digital ID compulsory for all Brits.  After backtracking on a number of policies, from the farm tax to the end of winter fuel payments, the Prime Minister is set to reveal that the government will no longer make all [...]

  • Former OBR chair takes aim at Rachel Reeves’ fiscal rules 

    January 13, 2026

    The former chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility has taken aim at Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ fiscal rules, suggesting they prevent UK public finances from building enough “resilience”.  In his first public appearance since his resignation last month due to the leaked Budget, Richard Hughes said the current fiscal rules were “among the loosest” the [...]

  • Stride vows to protect OBR in new dividing line with Farage

    January 12, 2026

    Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride has vowed to protect the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) in any future Conservative government, drawing a dividing line with Reform’s Nigel Farage on approaches to controlling public finances.  Stride is expected to re-establish the Conservative Party’s firm commitment to maintaining the fiscal watchdog as an independent body scoring the effects [...]

  • Migrant visa applications plummet in test to Reeves

    January 10, 2026

    Migrants’ skilled worker visa applications plummeted in December, posing a test to Rachel Reeves and economists at the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) to take control of public finances.  New figures showed that the number of skilled worker visa applications dropped to 2,500 in December, having increased to a peak of 10,100 in April 2024. [...]

  • Fiscal rules are a ‘self-awarded badge of honour’ that ‘make no difference’

    January 9, 2026

    Fiscal rules are “largely ineffective” and fail to impose discipline on public expenditure, a new report has said, bringing into question claims made by UK Chancellors and the International Monetary Fund that a clear list of targets can stabilise public finances.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves has held up her “iron-clad” fiscal rules, which hinge on changing [...]

  • Labour ‘quietly hammering’ workers as pensioners benefit, think tank warns

    January 2, 2026

    The Labour government is “quietly hammering” workers following the Autumn Budget’s stealth tax raid while pensioners and those on benefits are set to enjoy a jump in income, a think tank has said. In the November Budget, Rachel Reeves extended the freeze on income tax thresholds until 2031 – a move which is viewed as [...]

  • Rachel Reeves: Leak to the FT was inaccurate

    December 10, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves slammed briefings provided to media outlets in the lead-up to the Budget as she referred to a specific Financial Times news report which had “partial and inaccurate” information.  In a Treasury Select Committee hearing on Wednesday morning, the Chancellor hit out at leaks in the months leading up to the Budget, adding [...]

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