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OBR

  • Brits back spending cuts over tax rises

    July 8, 2025

    Voters prefer spending cuts over tax rises, fresh polling has found, putting Chancellor Rachel Reeves at odds with an electorate that has become frustrated with her economic policies.  Rachel Reeves set spending pledges in stone in June when she confirmed Labour would boost day-to-day departmental and capital spending, with the NHS receiving a fresh three-year [...]

  • UK cannot afford triple lock pension, OBR says

    July 8, 2025

    The UK government cannot afford to keep the triple lock pension, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves has faced staunch opposition from within her own party and seemingly from the wider electorate over cuts to welfare spending as she bids to meet fiscal rules that prevent high borrowing from further [...]

  • OBR warns unfunded spending to damage UK finances amid ‘daunting’ risks

    July 8, 2025

    The UK economy is set for a “daunting” year as the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned unfunded spending commitments and global trade tensions are likely to damage public finances.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves is facing pressure to assuage Labour backbenchers by not cutting welfare spending while also upholding a pledge not to raise tax [...]

  • Get ready for £30bn tax raid, City analysts warn

    July 5, 2025

    Top City economists have warned welfare U-turns and President Trump’s damage to growth prospects will lead to tax hikes worth £30bn this autumn.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves suggested last year’s £40bn tax raid on businesses, homeowners and investors was a “once in a parliament reset” while Keir Starmer has suggested the UK could not “tax [its] [...]

  • Housebuilding boost as stamp duty ‘disruptions’ fade

    July 4, 2025

    Housebuilding stopped the construction sector from crumbling as an increase in residential work in June was recorded for the first time in nine months, fresh data has suggested. S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for construction showed the sector improved slightly from May, with the decline in total business activity at the lowest level since [...]

  • Labour versus the bond markets, businesses and ballots

    July 3, 2025

    Birthdays aren’t best celebrated on a hangover but Labour’s senior leaders will be waking up with a painful headache this morning after haemorrhaging support from both bond markets and backbenchers. As dozens of Labour MPs discovered the level of influence they held over whips in parliament, unsympathetic bond traders flexed their own powers as medium-term [...]

  • Badenoch: Welfare ‘fudge’ driven by ‘panic not principle’

    July 1, 2025

    Kemi Badenoch has branded Labour’s welfare reforms a “fudge” that will fail to curb the government’s spiralling welfare bill on health and disability benefits.  MPs are set to vote on work and pensions secretary Liz Kendall’s welfare bill aimed at getting more inactive Brits back into the national workforce by changing eligibility for personal independence [...]

  • Reeves urged to unfreeze income tax or risk entrenched damage

    June 26, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has been given another stark warning of the implications of extending the freeze on income tax thresholds. The Chancellor has vowed to not repeat the scale of tax rises in last year’s autumn Budget, but has not addressed whether she will stand by her promise to unfreeze income tax thresholds from 2028. Reeves [...]

  • Rachel Reeves mulls inheritance tax U-turn as non-doms flee

    June 17, 2025

    Rachel Reeves is reportedly mulling over changes to inheritance tax (IHT) on non-doms for assets held around the world, as pressure has ramped up from the City. That’s according to a report in the Financial Times, with “tweaks” to current rules to stem the UK’s haemorrhaging of non-doms.  This potential U-turn follows pressure on the [...]

  • Our economy remains in a perilous state

    June 12, 2025

    With the long-awaited Spending Review, the UK Chancellor finally gets to reveal the goodies rather than simply be the baddie. But there will be one question lurking behind every line item, behind every pound pledged and every Treasury footnote: how are you going to pay for it?

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