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OBR

  • Government borrowing in March dwarfs expectations

    April 23, 2025

    Government borrowing overshot expectations as it hit £16.4bn in March, official data has revealed.  Ballooning levels of borrowing will likely come as a blow to Chancellor Rachel Reeves, who is under pressure to keep public finances in balance.  Reeves left herself £9.9bn at last month’s Spring Statement as she made around £14bn of cuts, mainly [...]

  • Probe launched into ONS governance and data quality

    April 1, 2025

    The government has launched an independent investigation into the UK’s beleaguered statistics watchdog to ascertain how its official data and surveys have become so unreliable. The remit of the probe – commissioned by the Cabinet Office and UK Statistics Authority (UKSA) – will span the Office for National Statistics’ (ONS) culture, leadership and structure, and [...]

  • The Spring Statement takes us back to square one

    March 27, 2025

    It might not have been a Budget, but the Chancellor may well wish that it had been. Constrained by her fiscal rules and her own insistence that yesterday’s statement would not constitute a major event, Rachel Reeves was left shuffling the few cards she held in search of a better hand. The search was in [...]

  • Spring Statement 2025: Rachel Reeves won’t rule out tax hikes at next Budget

    March 26, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has declined to rule out hiking taxes at her next Budget, amid growing pushback from Labour MPs over welfare cuts in the wake of her Spring Statement. The Chancellor told reporters at a press conference that she was focused on growing the economy, despite speculation she will have to find more revenue to [...]

  • Spring Statement 2025: Workers’ rights bill ‘net negative’ for economy, OBR says

    March 26, 2025

    The government’s workers’ rights bill will “probably [have] net negative economic impacts”, the independent fiscal watchdog has said. Labour unveiled their workers’ rights package – the Employment Rights Bill – last year, and measures were hailed by unions as “common sense” reforms for a “fairer economy”. But according to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), [...]

  • Spring Statement 2025: Reeves makes further cuts to Universal Credit

    March 26, 2025

    Further cuts will be made to Britain’s welfare bill – but only save the government £3.4bn rather than the £5bn originally thought – Rachel Reeves has announced in the Spring Statement. The Chancellor has confirmed there will be further reductions to the cost of benefits, and to government spending, after the Office for Budget Responsibility [...]

  • Spring Statement: Reeves should abolish the OBR

    March 26, 2025

    By strengthening the OBR, Reeves has created severe difficulties for herself. Vital decisions about our economic future should be made by politicians, not unelected quangocrats, says Paul Ormerod Later today we will know for certain what is in Rachel Reeves’ Spring statement, a budget to all intents and purposes. But as is usually the case [...]

  • Reeves told to use Spring Statement to fix ‘unintended consequences’ of Budget

    March 24, 2025

    Rachel Reeves must use the Spring Statement to fix the “unintended consequences” of her Autumn Budget, the boss of a tax services firm has said. Tom Shave, President of the Europe and Asia-Pacific division at Ryan, has urged the Chancellor to use Wednesday’s update to provide businesses under economic pressure necessary support.  Shave anticipated Reeves’ [...]

  • Chancellor rules out ‘tax and spend’ policies ahead of spring statement

    March 22, 2025

    The Chancellor has ruled out “tax and spend” policies ahead of her spring statement next week. Rachel Reeves is under pressure to increase taxes or cut spending to meet the financial rules she set at the budget in October amid disappointing growth figures and higher-than-expected borrowing. Figures released on Friday came as a further blow, [...]

  • Do we need to rethink Brexit’s impact on UK-EU trade?

    March 20, 2025

    With the weekend approaching, allow me to furnish you with a classic conversation starter for the pub or a dinner party; have you heard that the OBR might have overstated the impact of Brexit on the UK’s trade with the EU? In my experience this kind of line serves as a perfect icebreaker or an [...]

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