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      UK economy tipped to stall as Iran war chokes growth

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interest rates

  • It’s not the Bank of England’s job to support the Chancellor

    May 5, 2026

    the Bank of England's MPC is acting as if its role is to support the Chancellor and protect the real economy, rather than control inflation.

  • ECB inflation survey points to sharp surge in prices

    May 4, 2026

    Major increase identified in ECB’s longstanding expert study, but hopes it will be short lived depend on Iran war ending Timely insight into inflation flashed across traders screens on Monday from the European Central Bank, as rising oil prices were back at the top of the agenda with tensions spiking higher in the Gulf. The [...]

  • House prices rise in April as market proves ‘remarkable resilience’

    May 1, 2026

    House prices made a surprise jump in April, as the “remarkable resilience” of the UK’s housing market trumped the hit to consumer confidence caused by the Iran war. Annual house price growth in the UK climbed to three per cent last month, up from 2.2 per cent in March. National house prices grew by 0.4 [...]

  • Natwest shares slip as bank upgrades income on higher interest rates

    May 1, 2026

    Natwest breezed past profit expectations in the first quarter of the 2026 and is predicting a greater bump to its bottom line on the back of higher-than-expected interest rates. The FTSE 100 giant booked a £2bn pre-tax profit in the first three months of the year, up from £1.8bn in the same period last year [...]

  • Bank of England signals interest rate hikes ahead despite April hold 

    April 30, 2026

    The Bank of England has all but confirmed that interest rates will be hiked in the coming months as oil prices have shot up, despite opting to hold them in a meeting on Thursday.  The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee warned interest rates could climb back to 5.25 per cent from the current level of 3.75 [...]

  • Lloyds shares upgraded to ‘Buy’ after interest rates tailwind

    April 30, 2026

    Analysts at UBS slapped a ‘Buy’ rating on shares in Lloyds Banking Group as the financial services giant looks to receive a bump to its bottom line from the elevated interest rate path. Jason Napier, analyst at UBS, said: “Given the tailwinds from rate hedges… we see strong future momentum in profits as a relatively [...]

  • Bank of England Live: Interest rates held as hawks warn of ‘highly uncertain’ energy prices

    April 30, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee has today decided to hold interest rates at 3.75 per cent in a hawkish display. In last month’s decision, the Bank held rates in a unanimous decision. Afterwards, short-term gilt yields, which reflect government borrowing costs, sharply rose as traders priced [...]

  • Twilight zone: Markets await ‘highly uncertain’ interest rates decision

    April 30, 2026

    City analysts are eagerly anticipating a “highly uncertain” Bank of England decision on interest rates that could swing prices in either direction.  The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to hold interest rates at its upcoming decision at 12pm on Thursday, though analysts have warned that a vote split and hawkish messaging around the [...]

  • Lloyds fires bank tax warning shot as industry ‘ripe for cash grab’

    April 29, 2026

    Lloyds Banking Group has warned the Treasury not to look at the banks for a tax raid as the industry sets its sights on booming profits in 2026. The FTSE 100 giant beat profit expectations by a cool £200m in the first-quarter after booking £2bn. This was also followed up by an upgrade to its [...]

  • Lloyds shares drop after income upgrade on higher interest rates

    April 29, 2026

    Lloyds Banking Group has upgraded its income targets for the year as the bank expects to bring in more cash as interest rates remain elevated from the Iran war. The FTSE 100 financial giant – which counts Lloyds Bank, Halifax and Bank of Scotland among its subsidiaries – said it expects net interest income to [...]

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