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      UK economy tipped to stall as Iran war chokes growth

      City of London

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interest rates

  • House prices rise as mortgage rates ease from Iran war highs

    Property

    House prices inched up in June as mortgage rates softened following a sharp spike in response to the Iran war.  The average UK property price rose by 0.2 per cent in June to £299,330, compared to a 0.2 per cent fall in May, according to the Lloyds house price index. Inflationary fears and expectation of [...]

    Starmer plans to build up to 12 new towns.
  • Interest rate cut is ‘off the table’, says Bank of England governor

    Economics

    Andrew Bailey has said cutting interest rates is “off the table at the moment” in the clearest sign yet borrowing costs are likely to stay elevated for the rest of the year. The Bank of England governor said on a panel at the European Central Bank’s annual conference in Portugal that inflationary pressures following the [...]

    Governor Andrew Bailey has launched a defence of the Federal Reserve's independence.
  • Bank of England chief economist ‘not trying to be a troublemaker’ on rates split

    Economics

    The Bank of England’s chief economist has warned fellow policymakers over the risk of becoming “complacent” towards the cost of living as he defends his recent calls to hike interest rates.  Huw Pill, a member of the central bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, has voted twice to increase rates to 4 per cent in the committee’s [...]

    Chief economist Huw Pill said "consistency" was key to the Bank of England's quantitative tightening programme (Photo by: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
  • As it happened: Stocks sink after Fed and Bank of England opt for hawkish hold; Oil price tumbles

    June 18, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Interest rates were left unchanged at 3.75 per cent in Bank of England’s monetary policy committee meeting today as rate-setters wait to find out whether the Iran war peace deal holds up.  The Bank’s decision followed Thursday’s inflation data, which stayed below undershot expectations after coming at 2.8 [...]

  • Interest rates next change ‘far more likely down than up’

    June 18, 2026

    Interest rates are set to be held on Thursday in what some analysts believe could be a split decision as two Bank of England officials could back a 25 basis point hike.  The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 3.75 per cent, though some members could back a [...]

  • House prices jump as property market ‘treads water in rough conditions’

    June 17, 2026

    House prices jumped by 0.7 per cent in April, in signs that the property market is “trading water in rough conditions” as the Iran war spikes mortgage rates. The average UK house price rose to £270,000 from March to April, marking 3.8 per cent year-on-year growth, according to new government statistics. But property experts have [...]

  • Inflation stays below three per cent despite price warning

    June 17, 2026

    Inflation has stayed below three per cent although economists are predicting further price increases later this year.  The Office for National Statistics said inflation in the year to May was lower than economists expected with the consumer prices index (CPI) showing a reading of 2.8 per cent. Core inflation, which strips volatile energy and food [...]

  • As it happened: FTSE 100 see-saws after inflation undershoots; Oil at $80 as Trump threatens ‘dropping bombs’ on Iran

    June 17, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Fresh inflation data this morning showed a reading of 2.8 per cent leading the consumer price index unchanged from May. This came under the expectations of a poll of City analysts by Bloomberg that forecast inflation would come in at three per cent for May. Core inflation, which [...]

  • Banks woo the wealthy to ace stable income streams

    June 17, 2026

    As the great and the good prepare to gather at Wimbledon, banks are serving up glamorous treatment to woo the wealthy. In this week’s column Samuel Norman looks at the players looking to call game, set, match. If you want the Centre Court treatment from your bank, you’re going to need to arrive with a [...]

  • Nationwide fires starting gun on mortgage deals ahead of interest rate decision

    June 16, 2026

    Nationwide has slashed its mortgage rates for the second time in the space of a week, ahead of the Bank of England’s interest rate decision on Thursday. The building society has taken the chop to its home loan prices, with a 0.28 percentage-point reduction. It follows a 0.12 cut on 10 June. The move comes [...]

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