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fiscal rules

  • Starmer’s defence pledges will trigger a tax bombshell

    June 3, 2025

    Here’s a cracker of a pub quiz question for you: what links mega-rich non-doms, nuclear-powered submarines, congestion in Wigan and the Bank of England’s former chief economist? The answer, as so often appears to be the case, is tax. On the day that Keir Starmer unveiled a Strategic Defence Review that calls for nearly £70bn [...]

  • Starmer plays a risky game on welfare reform

    May 27, 2025

    Rightly or wrongly, Labour decided that the first signal they should send as a new government was that they wouldn’t duck tough economic decisions. The cut to the winter fuel allowance was offered up as the ultimate proof of their seriousness; politically difficult but, we were told, financially necessary. A direct line was drawn between [...]

  • Tariffs: Starmer commits to fiscal rules and not raising income tax and VAT

    April 7, 2025

    Sir Keir Starmer has stressed his commitment to the government’s fiscal rules and reiterated he would not increase national insurance, VAT or income tax, despite Donald Trump’s tariffs upending government economic policy. The Prime Minister called for “cool heads” as global markets plunged in response to the US President’s sweeping global import taxes, and said [...]

  • Income tax will need to rise to fund defence push, Mervyn King says

    February 27, 2025

    Speaking on Sophy Ridge's show on Sky News, Mervyn King acknowledged the government was in a "very difficult position," but criticised it for a lack of ambition.

  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ fiscal rules on a ‘knife edge’

    January 30, 2025

    The Resolution Foundation warned that Rachel Reeves may be forced to find some extra cash through tax increases or spending cuts, or else face "market jitters".

  • Davos: Reeves defends fiscal rules and says Heathrow expansion is ‘pro-growth’

    January 22, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has insisted the UK would continue to meet her “fiscal rules”, describing them as the “bedrock” of the stability she aims to restore to the economy and public finances. The Chancellor spoke at a Bloomberg event at the World Economic Forum in Davos, as the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said public sector [...]

  • Reeves vows ‘action’ to meet fiscal rules amid rise in borrowing costs

    January 11, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has said she will “take action” to meet her fiscal rules following turbulence on the gilt markets. Increases in the Government’s borrowing costs have sparked concern that the Chancellor will be unable to meet her debt and spending targets, requiring either tax rises or deeper spending cuts when she delivers a fiscal statement [...]

  • Rachel Reeves says fiscal rules ‘non-negotiable’ during bid to boost ties with China

    January 11, 2025

    Rachel Reeves vowed to stand by her “non-negotiable” fiscal rules, as her mission to China was overshadowed by further turbulence in the gilt markets. Visiting bicycle-maker Brompton’s flagship Beijing store on Saturday, the Chancellor declined to give a running commentary on the financial markets in the UK, but said the rules she set for herself [...]

  • Government ‘would breach fiscal rules with minor rate rise’

    November 5, 2024

    The Chancellor would be in breach of her own fiscal rules if interest rates remain just 30 basis points higher than the fiscal watchdog forecasts, Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) economists have said. Giving evidence to the Treasury Committee, OBR member Tom Josephs told MPs that his colleagues conducted analysis that found “a change of [...]

  • Autumn Budget 2024: UK government bonds volatile as FTSE 100 dips

    October 30, 2024

    Financial markets have wobbled in response to the new government's maiden Budget, with gilt yields jumping and the FTSE 100 ticking down.

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