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fiscal headroom

  • Rachel Reeves’ stealth tax raid to slap extra £7,000 on high earners

    August 21, 2025

    Rachel Reeves would force Britain’s high earners to face a mounting tax burden if she opts to extend the freeze on income tax thresholds in the autumn Budget. The Chancellor would slap an extra £7,000 in income tax on Brits earning over £100,000 if the freeze is maintained, analysis from wealth manager Rathbones reveals. An [...]

  • JP Morgan: Rachel Reeves could slash headroom to avoid large tax rises 

    July 29, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves is poised to reduce her wafer-thin £9.9bn headroom even further at the Autumn Budget to avoid making sweeping tax rises, analysts at one of the world’s biggest banks have predicted.  Leading think tanks and City analysts have warned that Rachel Reeves will look to raise as much as £30bn in taxes later [...]

  • Rachel Reeves should tweak fiscal rules to ease pressure, IFS says

    July 21, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves should bring forward a change to fiscal rules to ease pressures faced at spring fiscal events, a leading economics think tank has urged.  In a new briefing on public finances, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said Rachel Reeves should refrain from changing the number of times the Office for Budget Responsibility [...]

  • OBR chief says higher tax is ‘not good’ for growth – or the government

    July 15, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves risks harming the UK economy’s potential to grow by inflicting extra tax hikes on Brits, the fiscal watchdog has warned, adding that the government risks losing out on returns in the longer run.  Rachel Reeves looks poised to raise taxes at this year’s Autumn Budget as leading City analysts believe the higher [...]

  • Will banks be able to escape a Reeves’ tax raid this Autumn? 

    June 27, 2025

    As Rachel Reeves watches her fiscal headroom crumble with every Labour U-turn, the Chancellor may return to her budget mantra that those with the “broadest shoulders should bear the heavier burden”. Lenders managed to skirt a tax raid in the 2024 budget after lobbyists warned it could damage the sector’s international competitiveness, but renewed fiscal [...]

  • Reeves may need larger fiscal buffer to ‘build credibility’

    June 27, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves may need to make her headroom larger than £9.9bn in the autumn to restore credibility and fund policy U-turns, an economics think tank has warned, prompting warnings that “unpopular tax hikes” are coming down the line.  Proposed welfare reforms saved the government £4.8bn at the Spring Statement in a last minute rush [...]

  • Labour’s welfare U-turn spikes fears of tax hikes

    June 27, 2025

    The Labour government has confirmed its latest U-turn with a significant retreat on welfare reform dealing a crushing blow to Rachel Reeves’ waning fiscal headroom. The bill initially targeted restrictions on personal independence payments (PIP) and limited the sickness-related element of universal credit in a bid to shed £5bn from the welfare budget by 2030. Under [...]

  • Saving British Steel leaves taxpayers with £900m bill

    June 25, 2025

    The government’s decision to take emergency control of British Steel is poised to cost the taxpayer just short of £1bn, according to initial government estimates, sparking warnings from opposition politicians that the Chancellor’s narrow fiscal headroom is in jeopardy. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) expects the public finances to suffer a £900m hit from [...]

  • Will the Bank of England’s quantitative tightening torpedo Reeves’ fiscal rules?

    June 5, 2025

    Rachel Reeves is in a pickle. At under £10bn, the Chancellor’s self-imposed fiscal headroom – the Treasury’s wiggle room within its fiscal rules – is already wafer-thin by historic standards. And it is under intense strain, given a recent slew of billion-pound government spending pledges such as reversing winter fuel payments cuts and scrapping the [...]

  • Reeves warned against bank tax raid

    May 21, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has been warned of the growth consequences of upping tax on lenders after a leaked memo from Angela Rayner called for the Chancellor to launch a cash grab on banks. Reeves was sent a memo by the Deputy Prime Minister ahead of the spring Statement, which called for an annual £700m hike on [...]

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