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      The devastating prognosis for the UK’s public finances

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fiscal headroom

  • Speed or stability? Bond markets strap in for Andy Burnham coronation

    Economics

    City bond traders are strapping in for a “jumpy” ride as Andy Burnham looks set to cruise into Downing Street uncontested – even if a coronation helps head off the worst volatility, analysts have said. The former Manchester Mayor’s bid for the top job won a major boost today as former health secretary Wes Streeting [...]

    Andy Burnham smiling at a public event, wearing a suit and tie, representing positive leadership and community engagement.
  • Reeves’ energy bill crackdown prompts industry backlash 

    Politics

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ push to crack down on “profiteering” among retailers has led to backlash across industry as suppliers are warning of shortages on the horizon.  Reeves has been warned by industry bosses that the focus on profiteering lacked justification and was part of a political ploy ahead of crucial elections in May. Asda boss [...]

    Starmer and Reeves have caused huge damage to the UK economy
  • Reeves faces £20bn fiscal hole as energy crisis drives up costs

    Energy

    Rachel Reeves is facing a potential £20bn shortfall in her spending plans as the Middle East energy crisis pushes up inflation, borrowing costs and pressure on public sector pay. The warning from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) comes as surging oil and gas prices begin to feed through into the wider economy, threatening to [...]

    Keanu Reeves in a thoughtful pose, wearing a formal suit, looking contemplative during a business meeting or press event.
  • UK economic rebound to be short-lived as Iran war shock looms

    March 11, 2026

    The UK economy is predicted to have seen modest growth at the start of the year while the labour market appeared to be easing and interest rates were very much on a downward path.  Forecasters agreed the outlook for the UK economy looked reasonably promising, if not exciting. That was until President Trump spoiled the [...]

  • Spring Statement: Rachel Reeves ‘in denial’ as growth slumps

    March 4, 2026

    Rachel Reeves has been accused of being “in denial” as she insisted that her economic plan was working even as growth forecasts were slashed and unemployment was predicted to surpass pandemic-era highs. Responding to yesterday’s Spring Statement, shadow chancellor Mel Stride said Labour’s economic agenda, which has raised the tax burden to a post-war high, [...]

  • Reeves’ Spring Statement gave us little to be cheery about

    March 4, 2026

    Rachel Reeves put on a brave face when she stood up at the dispatch box yesterday afternoon to unveil her Spring Statement. And although we were subjected to the usual staccato delivery, the Chancellor’s performance was more confident than usual. But a cursory glance at the latest Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) projections show there [...]

  • Spring Statement Live: UK growth cut for 2026 but Reeves touts future forecasts

    March 3, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Rachel Reeves delivered her Spring Statement today, as the Office for Budget Responsibility published its updated forecasts for the years ahead. The Chancellor was handed quite a hefty blow with the UK’s growth estimate for 2026 slashed to 1.1 per cent from 1.4 per cent the year prior. [...]

  • Sunak pushes deregulation as North Sea pressure grows

    March 1, 2026

    Rishi Sunak has urged Rachel Reeves to go further and faster on deregulation to revive growth, as eight former UK energy ministers call on the government to rethink its stance on North Sea oil and gas. The former prime minister wrote in a Sunday Times column that Reeves deserved credit for delivering a Spring Statement [...]

  • Rachel Reeves warned ‘dysfunctional’ fiscal rules are hammering economy

    February 19, 2026

    Rachel Reeves has been dealt a scathing assessment of her economic policy by a top think tank, which likened her approach to a driver who was “watching the speedometer” while ignoring other conditions. The Chancellor is facing calls to scrap the self-imposed fiscal rules that prevent her from borrowing to pay for day-to-day spending and [...]

  • Defence stocks rally after Starmer vows to ‘go faster’ on spending pledge

    February 17, 2026

    Investors piled into defence stocks on Monday after Keir Starmer said the UK needed to “go faster” on defence spending to combat the growing threat from Russia. The Prime Minister warned that the UK needed to “step up” its defence commitments amid reports that he wants to ramp up the defence budget by tens of [...]

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