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Economics

  • Working from home costs London hospitality sector £2.3bn, economists say

    August 3, 2020

    The coronavirus pandemic has caused £2.3bn of spending to be lost or displaced in shops, pubs and cafes near London employment hubs, according to new analysis by a think tank. The Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) also estimated that the capital will lose out on roughly £178m a month of spending compared to [...]

  • UK manufacturing output grows at quickest pace since 2017

    August 3, 2020

    UK manufacturing output grew at its fastest rate in almost three years in July as the sector continued to grow after it was all but shut down due to coronavirus in April, according to survey data. The IHS Markit/Cips UK manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) – a gauge of the health of the sector – [...]

  • Eurozone manufacturing sector returns to growth but worries remain

    August 3, 2020

    The Eurozone manufacturing sector performed better than expected as it returned to growth in July as the currency bloc continued to recover from the spring’s coronavirus crash, survey data showed today. The IHS Markit Eurozone manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 51.8 in July from 47.4 in June. It was above a flash estimate [...]

  • Eurozone economy shrinks by record 12 per cent as pandemic bites

    July 31, 2020

    The Eurozone economy contracted by a record 12.1 per cent in the second quarter of the year as coronavirus lockdowns caused business activity to shudder to a halt and consumer spending to dry up. It followed a 3.6 per cent contraction in the first quarter, confirming that the single-currency area is in by far the [...]

  • US economy shrinks by record 33 per cent amid coronavirus pandemic

    July 30, 2020

    The US economy suffered its biggest crash on record in the second quarter as coronavirus ripped through the country, with GDP plunging at an annualised rate of 32.9 per cent according to an advance estimate. The drop in output – which came after a fall of five per cent in the first quarter – was [...]

  • German economy shrinks at record rate as coronavirus bites

    July 30, 2020

    The German economy contracted at a record rate in the second quarter of the year as the coronavirus pandemic sent the country into lockdown. German GDP fell by 10.1 per cent quarter on quarter after shrinking two per cent in the first three months of the year.  It was the biggest drop since records began [...]

  • UK mortgage approvals beat expectations as housing market reopens

    July 29, 2020

    UK mortgage approvals beat expectations and rocketed in June as the housing market reopened from the coronavirus lockdown, the latest figures have shown. The number of mortgages approved by UK banks rose to 40,000 in June after May’s record crash to just 9,300, the Bank of England said today. Analysts had predicted a rise to [...]

  • Great expectations: The Darwinian wars of economic and epidemiological forecasting

    July 29, 2020

    A key concept in modern economics is, to use the jargon term, rational expectations.  The idea has dominated orthodox macroeconomics over the past 30 years. Not all economists have been persuaded of its merits by any means, but nevertheless, its influence has extended far beyond academia, into finance ministries and central banks around the world. [...]

  • UK tax rises: How will Rishi Sunak pay down the coronavirus deficit?

    July 28, 2020

    Rishi Sunak’s first five months as chancellor has seen him shower the UK economy with hundreds of billions of pounds, helping make him the most popular government figure. However, talk has already turned to the ballooning deficit – predicted to be around £350bn this year – and how to reduce it to more manageable levels.  [...]

  • UK unemployment to hit 10 per cent as furlough scheme ends, says report

    July 28, 2020

    UK unemployment is set to rise to 10 per cent by the end of the year after the government made the “mistake” of winding down the job retention scheme, a respected economic forecaster has predicted. The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (Niesr) also said the UK economy would take three years to return [...]

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