Why Brussels red tape is threatening our credit market August 5, 2008 When markets hit turbulent times, we naturally look to regulators to provide stability and to restore confidence. Good regulation can be a real strength – I believe that the UK’s world-class regulatory regime contributes enormously to London’s ongoing success. The best regulation comes about through dialogue and consultation with practitioners. This is why last week [...]
Construction plunges August 5, 2008 Construction activity fell to a record low in July, driven by the collapse of the housing market and the stuttering economy, the latest survey showed yesterday. According to the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply’s construction PMI, building levels fell to 36.7 last month, from 38.8 in June. Any reading below 50 means the sector [...]
MPC decision on knife edge August 4, 2008 The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) decision on interest rates on Thursday will be a close call according to leading analysts who believe a hike is possible. The nine-member committee, which has left rates on hold at 5 per cent for the past three months, was split three ways in July with the [...]
It is still not the time to be buying into retail stocks July 31, 2008 The European General Retail sector has fallen by about 25 per cent so far this year. But does this sharp decline in price make retail shares a good buy? We think that there are a variety of reasons to remain wary. The first reason is a depressed outlook for consumer demand. With continued worries about [...]
Trade talks end with no agreement July 30, 2008 World Trade talks in Doha collapsed yesterday, after the US, China and India failed to agree a compromise on the kind of import tariffs poorer countries could raise on farm products. According to a spokesman for European trade commissioner Peter Mandleson, the failure of the talks was a “massive blow to confidence in the global [...]
UK recession looms July 30, 2008 The UK is drifting into a recession, leading economists warned yesterday, as approvals for British home loans in June hit their lowest level since records began and retail sales fell at their fastest pace in at least a quarter of a century. Home mortgage approvals, loans that are agreed but not yet made, fell in [...]
Recession is certain – City July 28, 2008 Analysts have declared a UK recession inevitable following official data showing that economic growth in the second quarter of this year slumped to its weakest rate in three years. The Office for National Statistics revealed last week that GDP rose by just 0.2 per cent in the three months to June, bringing the annual rate [...]
Why the global economy is taking a turn for the worse July 28, 2008 What a difference a couple of weeks make. One of the best hedge fund trades of the year had been to go long on oil and short the banks and it paid off handsomely. Buying Nymex oil from 1 January until 11 July would have produced returns of 50 per cent and simply selling the [...]
Credit crisis worsens July 28, 2008 Credit quality “declined rapidly” throughout Western Europe in the second quarter of this year as the credit crunch exacerbated inflation and slowing growth, according to a report published by ratings agency Moody’s today. The agency, which downgraded 41 debt issuers in the quarter, believes conditions are worsening thanks to rising inflation and slowing economic growth, [...]
Retail sales reverse into biggest slump on record July 25, 2008 The biggest monthly fall in retail sales on record has heightened fears that the UK will fall into a technical recession. British retail sales slumped in June by 3.9 per cent, the sharpest monthly fall since the series began in 1986, bringing the annual growth rate down to 2.2 per cent, according to the Office [...]