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UK inflation

  • Bank of England to avoid signalling faster interest rate cuts

    Economics

    The Bank of England will not signal a faster pace of interest rate cuts over the coming months to combat jobs market woes across the UK economy, with some economists fearing it could send markets mixed messages on monetary policy.  Markets expect interest rates to be held at 3.75 per cent on Thursday due to [...]

    The Bank of England is set to hold interest rates at its decision next week.
  • New Years optimism wears off as economic expectations drop 

    Economics

    New Year’s optimism is beginning to fall away with the number of people expecting the economy to improve this year falling at the start of February. According to the latest City AM/Freshwater Strategy poll of UK voters, the number of people expecting the economy to improve in the next 12 months has fallen by four [...]

    (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
  • UK inflation overshoots forecasts in cost of living warning

    Economics

    Inflation overshot forecasts pencilled in by economists, sending the Bank of England a warning on their steady pace of interest rate cuts. New data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has shown consumer price index (CPI) inflation, the headline measure for price growth, hitting 3.4 per cent in the year to December.  Economists [...]

    A new paper by the free-market think tank IEA demands the Treasury to broaden its focus from inflation to total spending in the economy – which would account for both economic growth and inflation.
  • Budget uncertainty dampens November spending

    December 19, 2025

    Black Friday discounts failed to significantly boost consumer spending in November, as Budget uncertainty kept shoppers away from the high street. Sales declined 0.1 per cent last month, following a 0.9 per cent fall in October, as households opted to hold off spending in the run up to Christmas and wait to see the outcome [...]

  • Cut interest rates, City AM Shadow MPC tells Bank of England

    December 17, 2025

    The Bank of England should cut interest rates by 25 basis points when it meets tomorrow, City AM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee has said in a three-way split decision.  In the face of the dual problems of high inflation and a continued jobs market decline, the majority of experts on City AM’s nine-strong Shadow MPC [...]

  • Interest rates: Bank of England hawks to ‘look through’ Budget’s disinflation

    December 9, 2025

    Bank of England policymakers struck a hawkish tone on the future path of interest rates despite acknowledging that the upcoming Budget would lower inflation. Appearing before MPs on the Treasury Select Committee, Bank staff analysis agreed with the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) that measures in Rachel Reeves’ November statement would strip 0.5 percentage points [...]

  • Lavazza: Profit doubles amid ‘unprecedented’ price rises

    September 22, 2025

    Profit at coffee brand Lavazza doubled in the UK during its latest financial year as it battled “intense pressure” on its supply chain and “unprecedented” price rises. The Uxbridge-headquartered division has posted a pre-tax profit of £3.2m for 2024, up from the £1.5m it achieved in 2023. New accounts filed with Companies House also show [...]

  • Bank of England may face lower inflation despite ‘Oasis bump’

    August 18, 2025

    Bank of England forecasts on inflation for July could be too high despite suggestions Oasis concerts could make prices jump, forecasters have said.  The Bank’s last Monetary Policy Report took a gloomy view on the state of the UK economy as it claimed inflation would hit 3.8 per cent in the month of July. But [...]

  • Rachel Reeves told to ‘get out of the way’ ahead of Autumn Budget

    August 13, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been told to “let businesses get on with it and get out of the way” ahead of delivering her second Autumn Budget in the coming months. A group of 1,500 private business leaders surveyed by KPMG said the Chancellor should focus on promoting higher wages and lower costs for companies. They [...]

  • Inflation eases in March amid looming Bank decision

    April 16, 2025

    Inflation remained stubbornly high at 2.6 per cent in March, official data has shown, leaving Bank of England policymakers with a difficult decision to make on interest rates early next month.  The year-on-year increase in consumer price inflation (CPI) was lower than the 2.7 per cent figure forecast in a Bloomberg poll of economists.  The [...]

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