IN-RUNNING TRADING HINTS
Although scores are normally high at this ground – the 10-game average first-innings score taken from the totals posted by both teams is 367 – they are often far lower in the second innings, normally leading to a result in one team’s favour. A quick stat attack shows England have won six and lost four of their last 10 Headingley outings.
Another highlights the fact that, of the five selected for this series, it is the venue England draw at least frequently – on average only once every four appearances – compared to a regular ratio of just above one in three.
For that reason, it may be best to lay the draw after two days of high scoring cricket when it looks the most likely of results. In 2006, England and Pakistan both posted first-innings totals at the ground in excess of 500. Not many would have fancied a result other than the stalemate, yet England ran out decisive 167-run winners. That result was no freak occurrence, as New Zealand collapsed to 161 all out in their second innings to lose by nine wickets in the previous Test at the ground when both sides had posted more than 400 in their opening knocks.
First-innings runs tend to be scored quickly and easily here which sets up a result and leaves the draw as a cracking in-running odds-on lay.
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