Coronavirus: Luxury brands braced for a bumpy ride It’s hard to erase the memory of red-and-white sale signs in the world’s most prestigious stores on Madison Avenue, New York, at the end of 2008. Stores that rarely offered discounts in their flagships slashed prices to move stock to very few shoppers. The luxury sector is not quite witnessing the same carnage as the [...]
Why is M&A rising? The bigger the company, the more likely it is to survive Investor sentiment is still skyrocketing as Donald Trump continues his victory lap and investors revel in the fanfare. The markets are behaving as though the White House’s as-yet-undetailed economic policies will cure all ills, from the simmering uncertainty around French, Dutch and German elections to the biggest pain for chief executives – technology disruption. The [...]
Should investors bulk up on bulk commodities ready for a bumper 2017? Resources firms were among the biggest victims when animal spirits were at their worst. Could they be among the biggest gainers now that fund managers have a spring in their step? Too much overcapacity, sluggish growth, debt piles, reduced dividends… Yes we’ve heard it all before. But 2016 has been another transition year for the [...]
Luxury firms should stop blaming macro trends for poor sales and become more sophisticated October 31, 2016 The latest batch of earnings reports from the luxury giants were showstoppers – with stunning double-digit gains from Kering, the owner of Gucci, versus no growth from Burberry. The polarised results raise the question: is it time for the luxury sector to move on from a tale of woe after the crackdown on Chinese consumption [...]
Buyers beware: Is the central bank credibility crunch point approaching? September 12, 2016 Market contrarians continue to close out their short positions on stocks, bonds and risk currencies as buying supports market levels, record low bond yields and emerging market assets. But can central banks continue to win the confidence game and herd investors into riskier trades, or will the credibility of Draghi, Kuroda, Carney and Yellen ultimately be [...]
Why the tide is against the iron ore mining giants – CNBC Comment September 22, 2014 Mining firms have put on a brave face over the past 18 months. I warned last year that the super-cycle had popped, despite the largesse still being exhibited by the industry in the mining hub of Perth. Since then, billions of dollars have been extracted from cost savings, economies of scale are being wielded to [...]
CNBC Comment: Why markets are drowning in uncertainty August 4, 2014 It’s been a hot summer for some, with US stock markets breaking out to fresh highs in July, and European investors debating whether to dip a toe in the water on the back of more European Central Bank (ECB) action. But as thunder clouds roll in, and after Wall Street suffered its worst week since [...]
CNBC Comment: Private equity M&A is still a risky game July 7, 2014 Deal after deal, the first six months of 2014 was a bumper period for mergers and acquisitions. But this deal fever, combined with private equity exits, has led bears to warn of a market top. Is it a matter of time before scalps are claimed, or are the players savvier this time round and [...]
