Hows Trump’s war in Iran is hitting hospitality Opinion The hospitality sector has already been hammered by taxes, regulation and minimum wage hikes. Now Trump’s war in Iran is hitting everyone’s discretionary spending, says Sacha Lord I’ve written so much about how Hospitality, not just in London, but across the whole of the UK is suffering right now. I’ve been scathing towards the Chancellor, [...]
The government is about to find out you can’t please the people and the bond markets Opinion In the next phase of the Iran crisis, investors will demand fiscal discipline; electorates will demand intervention. In a supply-driven stagflationary environment, it may be impossible to satisfy both, says Helen Thomas A severe physical supply shock is rippling through the global economy and unlike recent crises, this is not one policymakers can easily offset. [...]
Stagflation to batter UK economy as growth grinds to halt Economics The UK economy is set to suffer from stagflation over the coming months as growth across the services sector ground to a halt in March, researchers have indicated. The war in the Middle East has brought output growth to its slowest level since last April while input price inflation hit its highest level since the [...]
UK bond markets are dangerously exposed March 31, 2026 Many of the forces shaping the bond market are beyond any single government’s control. The combination of higher inflation, weaker growth and increased debt issuance is driving a global repricing of sovereign bonds, says Helen Thomas The global bond market is entering an increasingly precarious phase, shaped by the early stages of what looks like [...]
Hard truths from Lord Rose and Badenoch the thorn September 10, 2025 Yesterday was a day for hard truths and straight talking. It began with City veteran Lord Rose who said the UK is “at the edge of a crisis.” The former M&S chief and Asda chair said that after working for more than 50 years, and despite a predisposition to optimism, he looks at the state [...]
Worrying jobs figures show Labour’s Britain is heading for stagflation June 11, 2025 Staggering rises in unemployment are a result of government polices that prevent businesses creating new jobs, and will ultimately condemn Britain’s economy to low growth and high inflation, says Matthew Elliott Today’s employment figures from the ONS must serve as a wake-up call to the government that their economic agenda is running adrift. We have [...]
UK economy: Stagflation concerns persist after worrying week January 24, 2025 Data out this week suggested that concerns about stagflation have not yet fallen off the agenda.