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PMI

  • Why business confidence is all over the place

    August 12, 2025

    Kemi Badenoch looked aghast but Keir Starmer was defiant. Business confidence was at a nine-year high, the prime minister declared in the House of Commons in mid-July. The Conservative Party leader was not having any of it. Neither were many economists and analysts watching from the City.   What Starmer claimed was not false, per se. Research [...]

  • Construction sector contracts at the fastest pace since 2020

    August 6, 2025

    Activity in the UK’s construction industry is contracting at the fastest rate since the coronavirus pandemic in 2020 as high costs and tax hikes bite. The sector is vital for the Labour government’s plans for a house building boom and improvements in infrastructure, with the private sector expected to help boost the UK’s economic growth. [...]

  • Housebuilding boost as stamp duty ‘disruptions’ fade

    July 4, 2025

    Housebuilding stopped the construction sector from crumbling as an increase in residential work in June was recorded for the first time in nine months, fresh data has suggested. S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for construction showed the sector improved slightly from May, with the decline in total business activity at the lowest level since [...]

  • Consumer spending drives ‘healthy pickup’ for UK businesses 

    July 3, 2025

    Consumer and business spending has led to a “healthy pickup” in business activity, fresh research has suggested, despite concerns income had been squeezed by higher taxes and energy bills. The Labour government was recently dealt a blow as the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed the UK economy contracted by 0.3 per cent in April, [...]

  • Manufacturers fear Labour government will ‘derail growth’

    July 1, 2025

    Manufacturers continued to see output decline in June, fresh data has shown, as most business owners are now looking at how they can grow under the Labour government.  The UK government last week unveiled its industrial strategy aimed at giving high-growth sectors such as advanced manufacturing confidence over the next ten years.  But fresh research [...]

  • London suffering from UK economic malaise, NatWest data suggests

    June 9, 2025

    Businesses in London saw output decline for the second consecutive month in NatWest’s growth tracker – yet there is some optimism that the capital’s economy could resurge.  Firms widely reported Chancellor Reeves’ tax hikes and a rise in energy bills, which kicked into effect in what has been dubbed ‘Awful April’, contributed to a decline [...]

  • UK construction crumbles in April as ‘bumpy ride’ continues

    May 7, 2025

    UK construction endured another month of collapsing output in April, new research has suggested, in signs that a turnaround in the sector is still distant.  The sector has now seen a decline in output over four consecutive months, according to S&P Global’s newest purchasing managers’ index (PMI).  Civil engineering remained the weakest area of construction [...]

  • UK services sent into decline amid ‘market turbulence’

    May 6, 2025

    UK output was sent into decline by “market turbulence” in April for the first time in one and a half years, prompting fears that Chancellor Reeves’ £40bn tax raid last autumn was damaging the country’s services economy.  The services sector, which is seen as the engine behind UK growth, had been on a 17-month winning [...]

  • Dire economy needs lifesaving surgery, before it’s too late

    April 24, 2025

    When Rachel Reeves became Chancellor last summer, the biggest issue facing her was the existence (disputed by the Tories) of a £22bn black hole in the public finances. The political pain of cutting the winter fuel allowance was deemed necessary to balance the books and give the new government a clean sheet of paper on [...]

  • UK services and composite PMIs underwhelm economists

    April 3, 2025

    The UK service sector saw a “modest expansion” in March but economists overestimated S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) readings for the month.  S&P Global’s latest composite PMI reading, which takes an average of manufacturing and services output for the month, came in at 51.5.  The figure points to a slight expansion in UK output [...]

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