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Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

  • Rachel Reeves urged to levy one-off wealth tax

    October 13, 2025

    Researchers say Rachel Reeves should introduce a one-off wealth tax to avoid the “direct disincentive” of an annual levy. But the Chancellor risks wreaking havoc on the UK economy unless she breaks Labour manifesto commitments and introduces vast reforms to the wider tax system, according to a report by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). [...]

  • OBR risks being ‘unreasonably pessimistic’ as Reeves set to be given leeway

    October 10, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) risks being “unreasonably pessimistic” if it decides to downgrade productivity growth trends by more than 0.1 percentage point, fresh analysis has indicated, in what could hand Chancellor Rachel Reeves some extra leeway at this year’s Budget.  The fiscal watchdog is widely expected to downgrade productivity forecasts as part of [...]

  • Labour ministers ordered to stop relying on emergency funds 

    October 9, 2025

    Labour ministers have been told they will be blocked from using the government’s reserve funds to pay public sector staff and will only be given cash in exceptional circumstances.  James Murray, the chief secretary to the Treasury, has told colleagues across the Cabinet that access to rainy day funds will be limited as the government [...]

  • Labour considers relaxing global talent visa in answer to Trump’s clampdown

    September 22, 2025

    A UK government task force is considering plans to remove fee costs for the global talent visa after the US slapped a $100,000 charge on one of its key worker visas.  On Friday night, President Trump put hundreds of thousands of workers on high alert after he signed an executive order adding a hefty business [...]

  • OBR ‘downgrades productivity’ in major pre-Budget blow to Rachel Reeves

    September 16, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has reportedly told Chancellor Rachel Reeves that it will downgrade productivity forecasts for the UK economy, blowing a hole in the public finances and making tax hikes all but guaranteed at this year’s November Budget.  In another setback for the Labour government, the OBR has informed the Treasury that [...]

  • Goldman Sachs: Tax increases will not improve public finances

    September 10, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been warned by a leading Wall Street bank that hiking taxes later this year will not improve the state of public finances.  Reeves is widely expected to raise taxes by at least £20bn at this year’s Autumn Budget, with property owners, gambling companies and pension pots likely to be hit with [...]

  • Labour deputy leader hopeful slams Rachel Reeves’ ‘excessive deference’ to OBR

    September 8, 2025

    The prominent backbencher and former transport secretary Louise Haigh, who is a frontrunner to become the deputy leader of the Labour Party, has taken aim at Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ “excessive deference” to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) and adhering to “arbitrary fiscal targets”. Senior officials in the Labour Party are set to agree on [...]

  • Reeves warned ‘sin taxes’ could fail to boost tax receipts

    September 1, 2025

    Labour officials have been warned that plans to boost government revenue by raising “sin taxes” could be judged harshly by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) this year, with industry bosses calling on the Treasury to listen to “on-the-ground concerns” before making a final decision.  Reports have suggested the government could raise gambling levies later [...]

  • Investec raises growth forecast and backs November interest rate cut

    August 29, 2025

    Global banking firm Investec has lifted its growth projections for the UK economy with another interest rate cut pencilled in for 2025. The financial services company expects the UK economy to grow 1.5 per cent this year and 1.6 per cent in 2026. This trumps the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast, which expects the [...]

  • Reeves warned tax reform would be ‘rushed’ and lead to snags

    August 20, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ efforts to fast-track tax reforms in the three months leading to this year’s Autumn Budget risk being “rushed” and putting Britons at a disadvantage, senior tax advisers have warned. Treasury officials are reportedly “racing” to find tax reforms to ease the burden on businesses and individuals while improving productivity forecasts from the [...]

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