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Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

  • Is Brexit really to blame for the Chancellor’s growth headache?

    October 23, 2025

    As the government prepares the public psyche for substantial tax hikes at next month’s Budget, the Chancellor has taken a Brexit-shaped risk.  Keir Starmer’s government has largely opted for caution over talking about relations with the European Union. The Prime Minister has insisted that re-opening the Brexit debate would bring only “turmoil” but he also [...]

  • Rachel Reeves gears up for £1bn savings in Motability 

    October 17, 2025

    Rachel Reeves is reportedly planning a £1bn savings package through cuts to the Motability scheme offered to disabled people.  As part of a drive to plug a £30bn hole in the public purse, the Chancellor is considering reducing the number of BMWs and Mercedes some disability claimants can access through the Motability scheme, which is [...]

  • Downing Street refuses to rule out breaking Labour tax pledges 

    October 15, 2025

    Downing Street has refused to rule out breaking Labour manifesto tax pledges not to raise income tax, national insurance for workers or VAT, in a further indication that the government could look to raise revenue through one of the three big taxes.  The Labour Party vowed not to raise national insurance, VAT or income tax [...]

  • Rachel Reeves: We are looking at tax hikes 

    October 15, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has revealed the government is considering making tax hikes at this year’s Budget, the first time she has made the admission in public.   In an interview with Sky News, Reeves admitted that the government was considering raising tax and cutting spending to fill a fiscal hole.  The Chancellor said she would “always [...]

  • State pension set to rise by more than expected in blow to Reeves

    October 14, 2025

    The state pension is set to rise by more than previously expected after the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revised up its figures on wage growth for July, piling extra costs on public finances for Chancellor Rachel Reeves at this year’s Budget. The ONS revised up its wage growth figure for July from 4.7 per [...]

  • Reeves considers tax breaks for startups in effort to preserve headroom 

    October 13, 2025

    Reports have suggested that Rachel Reeves is considering offering entrepreneurs new tax reliefs as she tries to stimulate growth in the economy and unlock productivity. As part of an effort to limit the damage to the current headroom of £9.9bn due to productivity downgrades by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), Reeves is reportedly discussing [...]

  • Rachel Reeves urged to levy one-off wealth tax

    October 13, 2025

    Researchers say Rachel Reeves should introduce a one-off wealth tax to avoid the “direct disincentive” of an annual levy. But the Chancellor risks wreaking havoc on the UK economy unless she breaks Labour manifesto commitments and introduces vast reforms to the wider tax system, according to a report by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). [...]

  • OBR risks being ‘unreasonably pessimistic’ as Reeves set to be given leeway

    October 10, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) risks being “unreasonably pessimistic” if it decides to downgrade productivity growth trends by more than 0.1 percentage point, fresh analysis has indicated, in what could hand Chancellor Rachel Reeves some extra leeway at this year’s Budget.  The fiscal watchdog is widely expected to downgrade productivity forecasts as part of [...]

  • Labour ministers ordered to stop relying on emergency funds 

    October 9, 2025

    Labour ministers have been told they will be blocked from using the government’s reserve funds to pay public sector staff and will only be given cash in exceptional circumstances.  James Murray, the chief secretary to the Treasury, has told colleagues across the Cabinet that access to rainy day funds will be limited as the government [...]

  • Labour considers relaxing global talent visa in answer to Trump’s clampdown

    September 22, 2025

    A UK government task force is considering plans to remove fee costs for the global talent visa after the US slapped a $100,000 charge on one of its key worker visas.  On Friday night, President Trump put hundreds of thousands of workers on high alert after he signed an executive order adding a hefty business [...]

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